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In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

This paper provides an empirical study explores the application of deep learning algorithms-Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Transformer-in constructing long-short stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Junjie Guo

We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

With the fast development of quantitative portfolio optimization in financial engineering, lots of AI-based algorithmic trading strategies have demonstrated promising results, among which reinforcement learning begins to manifest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Huifang Huang , Ting Gao , Pengbo Li , Jin Guo , Peng Zhang , Nan Du

Stock return forecasting is a major component of numerous finance applications. Predicted stock returns can be incorporated into portfolio trading algorithms to make informed buy or sell decisions which can optimize returns. In such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zimeng Lyu , Amulya Saxena , Rohaan Nadeem , Hao Zhang , Travis Desell

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

This work extends a previous work in regime detection, which allowed trading positions to be profitably adjusted when a new regime was detected, to ex ante prediction of regimes, leading to substantial performance improvements over the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

We designed a machine learning algorithm that identifies patterns between ESG profiles and financial performances for companies in a large investment universe. The algorithm consists of regularly updated sets of rules that map regions into…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Carmine de Franco , Christophe Geissler , Vincent Margot , Bruno Monnier

In recent years, high-frequency trading has emerged as a crucial strategy in stock trading. This study aims to develop an advanced high-frequency trading algorithm and compare the performance of three different mathematical models: the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Jiahao Chen , Xiaofei Li

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

We introduce a new approach to a linear-circular regression problem that relates multiple linear predictors to a circular response. We follow a modeling approach of a wrapped normal distribution that describes angular variables and angular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ali Esmaieeli Sikaroudi , Chiwoo Park

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

Nowadays, machine learning methods have been widely used in stock prediction. Traditional approaches assume an identical data distribution, under which a learned model on the training data is fixed and applied directly in the test data.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-18 Chi Chen , Li Zhao , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Chunxiao Xing

We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-06 Andreas Krause

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

This study emphasizes how crucial it is to visualize machine learning models, especially for the banking industry, in order to improve interpretability and support predictions in high stakes financial settings. Visual tools enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Priyam Ganguly , Ramakrishna Garine , Isha Mukherjee

Machine Learning (ML) has been embraced as a powerful tool by the financial industry, with notable applications spreading in various domains including investment management. In this work, we propose a full-cycle data-driven investment…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-20 Haoran Wang , Shi Yu
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