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Model combination is a powerful approach for achieving superior performance compared to selecting a single model. We study both theoretically and empirically the effectiveness of ensembles of Multi-Frequency Echo State Networks (MFESNs),…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Giovanni Ballarin , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Yui Ching Li

The success of lottery ticket initializations (Frankle and Carbin, 2019) suggests that small, sparsified networks can be trained so long as the network is initialized appropriately. Unfortunately, finding these "winning ticket"…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Ari S. Morcos , Haonan Yu , Michela Paganini , Yuandong Tian

The hypothesis that sub-network initializations (lottery) exist within the initializations of over-parameterized networks, which when trained in isolation produce highly generalizable models, has led to crucial insights into network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-01 Bindya Venkatesh , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Kowshik Thopalli , Prasanna Sattigeri

There is a long history in machine learning of model ensembling, beginning with boosting and bagging and continuing to the present day. Much of this history has focused on combining models for classification and regression, but recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ira Globus-Harris , Varun Gupta , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

Ensembling is a popular and effective method for improving machine learning (ML) models. It proves its value not only in classical ML but also for deep learning. Ensembles enhance the quality and trustworthiness of ML solutions, and allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Polina Proscura , Alexey Zaytsev

Deep ensembles have been empirically shown to be a promising approach for improving accuracy, uncertainty and out-of-distribution robustness of deep learning models. While deep ensembles were theoretically motivated by the bootstrap,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Stanislav Fort , Huiyi Hu , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

The Strong Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (SLTH) states that randomly-initialised neural networks likely contain subnetworks that perform well without any training. Although unstructured pruning has been extensively studied in this context, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Arthur da Cunha , Francesco d'Amore , Emanuele Natale

Transferring a deep neural network trained on one problem to another requires only a small amount of data and little additional computation time. The same behaviour holds for ensembles of deep learning models typically superior to a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Ilya Shashkov , Nikita Balabin , Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

In resource-constrained and low-latency settings, uncertainty estimates must be efficiently obtained. Deep Ensembles provide robust epistemic uncertainty (EU) but require training multiple full-size models. BatchEnsemble aims to deliver…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Anton Zamyatin , Patrick Indri , Sagar Malhotra , Thomas Gärtner

The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis demonstrated that sparse subnetworks can match full-model performance, suggesting parameter redundancy. Meanwhile, in Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), recent work has shown that updates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Israel Adewuyi , Solomon Okibe , Vladmir Ivanov

Ensembling is among the most popular tools in machine learning (ML) due to its effectiveness in minimizing variance and thus improving generalization. Most ensembling methods for black-box base learners fall under the umbrella of "stacked…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Hilaf Hasson , Danielle C. Maddix , Yuyang Wang , Gaurav Gupta , Youngsuk Park

A very simple way to improve the performance of almost any machine learning algorithm is to train many different models on the same data and then to average their predictions. Unfortunately, making predictions using a whole ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Geoffrey Hinton , Oriol Vinyals , Jeff Dean

This paper investigates the problem of ensembling multiple strategies for sequential portfolios to outperform individual strategies in terms of long-term wealth. Due to the uncertainty of strategies' performances in the future market, which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Duy Khanh Lam

Traditional machine learning approaches assume that data comes from a single generating mechanism, which may not hold for most real life data. In these cases, the single mechanism assumption can result in suboptimal performance. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Mehmet Efe Lorasdagi , Ahmet Berker Koc , Ali Taha Koc , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Boosting is a method for finding a highly accurate hypothesis by linearly combining many ``weak" hypotheses, each of which may be only moderately accurate. Thus, boosting is a method for learning an ensemble of classifiers. While boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Sai Saketh Rambhatla , Michael Jones , Rama Chellappa

We formally study how ensemble of deep learning models can improve test accuracy, and how the superior performance of ensemble can be distilled into a single model using knowledge distillation. We consider the challenging case where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Zeyuan Allen-Zhu , Yuanzhi Li

Is bigger always better for time series foundation models? With the question in mind, we explore an alternative to training a single, large monolithic model: building a portfolio of smaller, pretrained forecasting models. By applying…

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Given the continuous increase in dataset sizes and the complexity of forecasting models, the trade-off between forecast accuracy and computational cost is emerging as an extremely relevant topic, especially in the context of ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Marco Zanotti

The Multi-Prize Lottery Ticket Hypothesis posits that randomly initialized neural networks contain several subnetworks that achieve comparable accuracy to fully trained models of the same architecture. However, current methods require that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Matt Gorbett , Darrell Whitley