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The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

In this brief paper, we present a simple approach to estimate the variance of measurement noise with time-varying 1-D signals. The proposed approach exploits the relationship between the noise variance and the variance of the prediction…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-09 Qin Li , Junchan Zhao

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

We consider the problem of mean estimation assuming only finite variance. We study a new class of mean estimators constructed by integrating over random noise applied to a soft-truncated empirical mean estimator. For appropriate choices of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Matthew J. Holland

The variance of noise plays an important role in many change-point detection procedures and the associated inferences. Most commonly used variance estimators require strong assumptions on the true mean structure or normality of the error…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Ning Hao , Yue Selena Niu , Han Xiao

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

A multivariate score-driven filter is developed to extract signals from noisy vector processes. By assuming that the conditional location vector from a multivariate Student's t distribution changes over time, we construct a robust filter…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-31 Enzo D'Innocenzo , Alessandra Luati , Mario Mazzocchi

Data segmentation a.k.a. multiple change point analysis has received considerable attention due to its importance in time series analysis and signal processing, with applications in a variety of fields including natural and social sciences,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

In this paper we study the theoretical properties of the simultaneous multiscale change point estimator (SMUCE) proposed by Frick et al. (2014) in regression models with dependent error processes. Empirical studies show that in this case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Holger Dette , Theresa Schüler , Mathias Vetter

The estimation of the frequencies of multiple superimposed exponentials in noise is an important research problem due to its various applications from engineering to chemistry. In this paper, we propose an efficient and accurate algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Shanglin Ye , Elias Aboutanios

A distributed estimation scheme where the sensors transmit with constant modulus signals over a multiple access channel is considered. The proposed estimator is shown to be strongly consistent for any sensing noise distribution in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Cihan Tepedelenlioglu , Adarsh B. Narasimhamurthy

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler

The segmentation of data into stationary stretches also known as multiple change point problem is important for many applications in time series analysis as well as signal processing. Based on strong invariance principles, we analyse data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Claudia Kirch , Philipp Klein

We study a new variant of consensus problems, termed `local average consensus', in networks of agents. We consider the task of using sensor networks to perform distributed measurement of a parameter which has both spatial (in this paper 1D)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-09-02 Kai Cai , Brian D. O. Anderson , Changbin Yu , Guoqiang Mao

In many change point problems it is reasonable to assume that compared to a benchmark at a given time point $t_0$ the properties of the observed stochastic process change gradually over time for $t >t_0$. Often, these gradual changes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

In this discussion, we compare the choice of seeded intervals and that of random intervals for change point segmentation from practical, statistical and computational perspectives. Furthermore, we investigate a novel estimator of the noise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann

We consider systems of ordinary differential equations with multiple scales in time. In general, we are interested in the long time horizon of a slow variable that is coupled to solution components that act on a fast scale. Although the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Leopold Lautsch , Thomas Richter
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