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Related papers: Robust Flow-based Conformal Inference (FCI) with S…

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Flow matching models have emerged as a powerful framework for realistic image generation by learning to reverse a corruption process that progressively adds Gaussian noise. However, because noise is injected in the latent domain, its impact…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Sucheng Ren , Qihang Yu , Ju He , Xiaohui Shen , Alan Yuille , Liang-Chieh Chen

The sophisticated and automated means of data collection used by an increasing number of institutions and companies leads to extremely large data sets. Subset selection in regression is essential when a huge number of covariates can…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-22 Debbie J. Dupuis , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Conformal inference is a popular tool for constructing prediction intervals (PI). We consider here the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is PIs are reported only for individuals selected from an unlabeled test…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Yajie Bao , Yuyang Huo , Haojie Ren , Changliang Zou

Recent advances in artificial intelligence have enabled the generation of large-scale, low-cost predictions with increasingly high fidelity. As a result, the primary challenge in statistical inference has shifted from data scarcity to data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Shirong Xu , Will Wei Sun

Bayesian posterior distributions naturally represent parameter uncertainty informed by data. However, when the parameter space is complex, as in many nonparametric settings where it is infinite-dimensional or combinatorially large, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

Conventional deep models predict a test sample with a single forward propagation, which, however, may not be sufficient for predicting hard-classified samples. On the contrary, we human beings may need to carefully check the sample many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Shuaicheng Niu , Jiaxiang Wu , Yifan Zhang , Guanghui Xu , Haokun Li , Peilin Zhao , Junzhou Huang , Yaowei Wang , Mingkui Tan

Representation learning is increasingly applied to generate representations that generalize well across multiple downstream tasks. Ensuring fairness guarantees in representation learning is crucial to prevent unfairness toward specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Yuhong Luo , Austin Hoag , Xintong Wang , Philip S. Thomas , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

We develop scalable methods for producing conformal Bayesian predictive intervals with finite sample calibration guarantees. Bayesian posterior predictive distributions, $p(y \mid x)$, characterize subjective beliefs on outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes

Obtaining high-quality labels for large datasets is expensive, requiring massive annotations from human experts. While AI models offer a cost-effective alternative by predicting labels, their label quality is compromised by the unavoidable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Huipeng Huang , Wenbo Liao , Huajun Xi , Hao Zeng , Mengchen Zhao , Hongxin Wei

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We formulate a novel approach to solve a class of stochastic problems, referred to as data-consistent inverse (DCI) problems, which involve the characterization of a probability measure on the parameters of a computational model whose…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Kirana Bergstrom , Troy Butler , Tim Wildey

In data analysis, contamination caused by outliers is inevitable, and robust statistical methods are strongly demanded. In this paper, our concern is to develop a new approach for robust data analysis based on scoring rules. The scoring…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-22 Takafumi Kanamori , Hironori Fujisawa

We present a generative AI algorithm for addressing the pressing task of fast, accurate, and robust statistical computation of three-dimensional turbulent fluid flows. Our algorithm, termed as GenCFD, is based on an end-to-end conditional…

We introduce a new paradigm for generative modeling built on Continuous Normalizing Flows (CNFs), allowing us to train CNFs at unprecedented scale. Specifically, we present the notion of Flow Matching (FM), a simulation-free approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Yaron Lipman , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Heli Ben-Hamu , Maximilian Nickel , Matt Le

Time series forecasting is critical for many applications, where deep learning-based point prediction models have demonstrated strong performance. However, in practical scenarios, there is also a need to quantify predictive uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu

Conformal prediction (CP) converts any model's output to prediction sets with a guarantee to cover the true label with (adjustable) high probability. Robust CP extends this guarantee to worst-case (adversarial) inputs. Existing baselines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Aleksandar Bojchevski

In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

Generative modeling has recently shown remarkable promise for visuomotor policy learning, enabling flexible and expressive control across diverse embodied AI tasks. However, existing generative policies often struggle with data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jianlei Chang , Ruofeng Mei , Wei Ke , Xiangyu Xu

Interest has been growing in decision-focused machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Carlos Patiño , Yewon Byun , Steven Wu , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder