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Script event prediction requires a model to predict the subsequent event given an existing event context. Previous models based on event pairs or event chains cannot make full use of dense event connections, which may limit their capability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-17 Zhongyang Li , Xiao Ding , Ting Liu

A new class of models for dynamic networks is proposed, called mutually exciting point process graphs (MEG). MEG is a scalable network-wide statistical model for point processes with dyadic marks, which can be used for anomaly detection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Francesco Sanna Passino , Nicholas A. Heard

Chain event graphs are a family of probabilistic graphical models that generalise Bayesian networks and have been successfully applied to a wide range of domains. Unlike Bayesian networks, these models can encode context-specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Aditi Shenvi , Silvia Liverani

We present a novel framework for modeling traffic congestion events over road networks. Using multi-modal data by combining count data from traffic sensors with police reports that report traffic incidents, we aim to capture two types of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Shixiang Zhu , Ruyi Ding , Minghe Zhang , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Yao Xie

Recent developments in predictive modeling using marked temporal point processes (MTPP) have enabled an accurate characterization of several real-world applications involving continuous-time event sequences (CTESs). However, the retrieval…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Abir De

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) are often used to represent the sequence of events ordered as per the time of occurrence. Owing to their flexible nature, TPPs have been used to model different scenarios and have shown applicability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Shivshankar Reddy , Anand Vir Singh Chauhan , Maneet Singh , Karamjit Singh

Time series prediction aims to predict future values to help stakeholders make proper strategic decisions. This problem is relevant in all industries and areas, ranging from financial data to demand to forecast. However, it remains…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-09 Aleksandr Pletnev , Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Evgeny Burnaev

We present a multi-relational temporal Knowledge Graph based on the daily interactions between artifacts in GitHub, one of the largest social coding platforms. Such representation enables posing many user-activity and project management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Kian Ahrabian , Daniel Tarlow , Hehuimin Cheng , Jin L. C. Guo

Individual mobility prediction is an essential task for transportation demand management and traffic system operation. There exist a large body of works on modeling location sequence and predicting the next location of users; however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Yuankai Wu , Zhanhong Cheng , Lijun Sun

To improve the performance of long text generation, recent studies have leveraged automatically planned event structures (i.e. storylines) to guide story generation. Such prior works mostly employ end-to-end neural generation models to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Chen Tang , Zhihao Zhang , Tyler Loakman , Chenghua Lin , Frank Guerin

Predicting medical events in advance within critical care settings is paramount for patient outcomes and resource management. Utilizing predictive models, healthcare providers can anticipate issues such as cardiac arrest, sepsis, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Sachini Weerasekara , Sagar Kamarthi , Jacqueline Isaacs

Recent advances in data collection and storage have allowed both researchers and industry alike to collect data in real time. Much of this data comes in the form of 'events', or timestamped interactions, such as email and social media…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Andrew Mellor

Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer

In this work, we identify open research opportunities in applying Neural Temporal Point Process (NTPP) models to industry scale customer behavior data by carefully reproducing NTPP models published up to date on known literature benchmarks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Dominykas Šeputis , Jevgenij Gamper , Remigijus Paulavičius

Dynamic graphs serve as a generic abstraction and description of the evolutionary behaviors of various complex systems (e.g., social networks and communication networks). Temporal link prediction (TLP) is a classic yet challenging inference…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Meng Qin , Dit-Yan Yeung

Traffic flow prediction is a typical spatio-temporal prediction problem and has a wide range of applications. The core challenge lies in modeling the underlying complex spatio-temporal dependencies. Various methods have been proposed, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Yiqing Zou , Hanning Yuan , Qianyu Yang , Ziqiang Yuan , Shuliang Wang , Sijie Ruan

Temporal graphs are graphs whose topology is subject to discrete changes over time. Given a static underlying graph $G$, a temporal graph is represented by assigning a set of integer time-labels to every edge $e$ of $G$, indicating the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-09-30 George B. Mertzios , Hendrik Molter , Rolf Niedermeier , Viktor Zamaraev , Philipp Zschoche

We present a novel Recurrent Graph Network (RGN) approach for predicting discrete marked event sequences by learning the underlying complex stochastic process. Using the framework of Point Processes, we interpret a marked discrete event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Saurabh Dash , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Real-world graph typically evolve via a series of events, modeling dynamic interactions between objects across various domains. For dynamic graph learning, dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) have emerged as popular solutions. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Xingtong Yu , Ruijuan Liang , Renhe Jiang , Dongyuan Li , Yunxiao Zhao , Xinming Zhang , Yuan Fang

We introduce Graph Neural Processes (GNP), inspired by the recent work in conditional and latent neural processes. A Graph Neural Process is defined as a Conditional Neural Process that operates on arbitrary graph data. It takes features of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Andrew Carr , David Wingate
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