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In this paper we develop a novel, discrete-time optimal control framework for mechanical systems with uncertain model parameters. We consider finite-horizon problems where the performance index depends on the statistical moments of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-17 George I. Boutselis , Yunpeng Pan , Gerardo De La Tore , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

We provide a method to design adaptive controllers for nonlinear systems using model predictive control (MPC). By combining a certainty-equivalent MPC formulation with least-mean-square parameter adaptation, we obtain an adaptive controller…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Johannes Köhler

We present a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for central heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) plants. The framework uses real data to forecast and quantify uncertainty of disturbances affecting the system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Ranjeet Kumar , Michael J. Wenzel , Mohammad N. ElBsat , Michael J. Risbeck , Kirk H. Drees , Victor M. Zavala

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by "controlled" Markov noise. In particular, the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Prasenjit Karmakar

We consider the adaptive control problem for discrete-time, nonlinear stochastic systems with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming access to a parameterised family of controllers that can stabilise the system in a bounded set within…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

Data-driven predictive control based on the fundamental lemma by Willems et al. is frequently considered for deterministic LTI systems subject to measurement noise. However, little has been done on data-driven stochastic control. In this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-04 Guanru Pan , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser

We consider the problem of data-driven predictive control for an unknown discrete-time linear time-periodic (LTP) system of known period. Our proposed strategy generalizes both Data-enabled Predictive Control (DeePC) and Subspace Predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-13 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

This paper introduces a novel method for robust output-feedback model predictive control (MPC) for a class of nonlinear discrete-time systems. We propose a novel interval-valued predictor which, given an initial estimate of the state,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Scott Brown , Mohammad Khajenejad , Aamodh Suresh , Sonia Martinez

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

The problem of achieving a good trade-off in Stochastic Model Predictive Control between the competing goals of improving the average performance and reducing conservativeness, while still guaranteeing recursive feasibility and low…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Frank Allgöwer , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

Model predictive control (MPC) has become the most widely used advanced control method in process industry. In many cases, forecasts of the disturbances are available, e.g., predicted renewable power generation based on weather forecast.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-08 Ryan McCloy , Lai Wei , Jie Bao

The problem of synthesizing stochastic explicit model predictive control policies is known to be quickly intractable even for systems of modest complexity when using classical control-theoretic methods. To address this challenge, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Ján Drgoňa , Sayak Mukherjee , Aaron Tuor , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Draguna Vrabie

We present an algorithm for robust model predictive control with consideration of uncertainty and safety constraints. Our framework considers a nonlinear dynamical system subject to disturbances from an unknown but bounded uncertainty set.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Dongchan Lee , Konstantin Turitsyn , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Distributed parameter systems (DPS) are formulated as partial differential equations (PDE). Especially, under time-varying boundary conditions, PDE introduce force coupling. In the case of the flexible stacker crane (STC), nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Joe Ismail , Steven Liu

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is widely recognized for its ability to explicitly handle system constraints. In practice, system states are often affected by disturbances with unknown distributions. While robust MPC guarantees constraint…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Weijiang Zheng , Jiayi Huang , Bing Zhu

We introduce a general framework for robust data-enabled predictive control (DeePC) for linear time-invariant (LTI) systems. The proposed framework enables us to obtain model-free optimal control for LTI systems based on noisy input/output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-18 Linbin Huang , Jianzhe Zhen , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler

Controller design faces a trade-off between robustness and performance, and the reliability of linear controllers has caused many practitioners to focus on the former. However, there is renewed interest in improving system performance to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Anil Aswani , Humberto Gonzalez , S. Shankar Sastry , Claire Tomlin

This paper discusses a novel probabilistic approach for the design of robust model predictive control (MPC) laws for discrete-time linear systems affected by parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed technique is based…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Lorenzo Fagiano