English
Related papers

Related papers: The Forecasting performance of the Factor model wi…

200 papers

This paper provides a new approach to derive various arbitrary high order finite difference formulae for the numerical differentiation of analytic functions. In this approach, various first and second order formulae for the numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Saint-Cyr E. R. Koyaguerebo-Imé , Yves Bourgault

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

We comment on a recent TKDE paper "Linear Approximation of F-measure for the Performance Evaluation of Classification Algorithms on Imbalanced Data Sets", and make two improvements related to comparison of F-measures for two prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-10 Wei Ju , Wenxin Jiang

In the data-rich environment, using many economic predictors to forecast a few key variables has become a new trend in econometrics. The commonly used approach is factor augment (FA) approach. In this paper, we pursue another direction,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Cindy Yu

This PhD Thesis presents an investigation into the analysis of financial returns using mixture models, focusing on mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) and their extensions. The study addresses several critical issues…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-20 Pierdomenico Duttilo

We propose a novel two-regime regression model where regime switching is driven by a vector of possibly unobservable factors. When the factors are latent, we estimate them by the principal component analysis of a panel data set. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-11 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Many economic and scientific problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional functional time series, where the number of functional variables $p$ diverges as the number of serially dependent observations $n$ increases. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao , Qingsong Wang , Zihan Wang

When solving forecasting problems including multiple time-series features, existing approaches often fall into two extreme categories, depending on whether to utilize inter-feature information: univariate and complete-multivariate models.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jaehoon Lee , Hankook Lee , Sungik Choi , Sungjun Cho , Moontae Lee

Interest in unsupervised methods for joint analysis of heterogeneous data sources has risen in recent years. Low-rank latent factor models have proven to be an effective tool for data integration and have been extended to a large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Felix Held , Jacob Lindbäck , Rebecka Jörnsten

Numerous estimators have been proposed for factor analysis, and their statistical properties have been extensively studied. In the early 2000s, a novel matrix factorization-based approach, known as Matrix Decomposition Factor Analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Yoshikazu Terada

We outline an inherent weakness of tensor factorization models when latent factors are expressed as a function of side information and propose a novel method to mitigate this weakness. We coin our method \textit{Kernel Fried Tensor}(KFT)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-13 Robert Hu , Geoff K. Nicholls , Dino Sejdinovic

We study the forward investment performance process (FIPP) in an incomplete semimartingale market model with closed and convex portfolio constraints, when the investor's risk preferences are of the power form. We provide necessary and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-27 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi , Chao Zhou

The accurate specification of the number of factors is critical to the validity of factor models and the topic almost occupies the central position in factor analysis. Plenty of estimators are available under the restrictive condition that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-15 Long Yu , Yong He , Xinsheng Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

Many existing mortality models follow the framework of classical factor models, such as the Lee-Carter model and its variants. Latent common factors in factor models are defined as time-related mortality indices (such as $\kappa_t$ in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Lingyu He , Fei Huang , Jianjie Shi , Yanrong Yang

Factor Analysis has traditionally been utilized across diverse disciplines to extrapolate latent traits that influence the behavior of multivariate observed variables. Historically, the focus has been on analyzing data from a single study,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Antonio Canale

The matrix factorization (MF) technique has been widely adopted for solving the rating prediction problem in recommender systems. The MF technique utilizes the latent factor model to obtain static user preferences (user latent vectors) and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Yung-Yin Lo , Wanjiun Liao , Cheng-Shang Chang

We encounter variables with little variation often in educational data mining (EDM) due to the demographics of higher education and the questions we ask. Yet, little work has examined how to analyze such data. Therefore, we conducted a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Nicholas T. Young , Marcos D. Caballero

In this paper we consider a class of BSDEs with drivers of quadratic growth, on a stochastic basis generated by continuous local martingales. We first derive the Markov property of a forward--backward system (FBSDE) if the generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-08 Peter Imkeller , Anthony Réveillac , Anja Richter

In finite samples, the use of a slightly endogenous but highly relevant instrument can reduce mean-squared error (MSE). Building on this observation, I propose a novel moment selection procedure for GMM -- the Focused Moment Selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Francis J. DiTraglia