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The rate of entropy production provides a useful quantitative measure of a non-equilibrium system and estimating it directly from time-series data from experiments is highly desirable. Several approaches have been considered for stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-21 Shun Otsubo , Sreekanth K Manikandan , Takahiro Sagawa , Supriya Krishnamurthy

The fundamental lemma by Jan C. Willems and co-authors enables the representation of all input-output trajectories of a linear time-invariant system by measured input-output data. This result has proven to be pivotal for data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-06 Guanru Pan , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser

In this paper we propose the design of an iterative observer using space as a time-like variable and prove its convergence. The iterative observer algorithm solves boundary estimation problem for a steady-state elliptic equation system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Muhammad Usman Majeed , Taous Meriem Laleg-Kirati

A compound Poisson process whose jump measure and intensity are unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. We construct a purely data-driven estimator of the L\'evy density $\nu$ through the spectral approach using general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Alberto J. Coca

The score function for the diffusion process, also known as the gradient of the log-density, is a basic concept to characterize the probability flow with important applications in the score-based diffusion generative modelling and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Yuanfei Huang , Chengyu Liu , Xiang Zhou

We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a L\'{e}vy process from low frequency historical and options data. An estimation methodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation and calibration problems in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Denis Belomestny

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

We study the local linear estimator for the drift coefficient of stochastic differential equations driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motions observed at discrete instants letting $T \rightarrow \infty$. Under regular conditions, we derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-09 Song Yu-Ping , Lin Zheng-Yan

Y-STR data simulated under a Fisher-Wright model of evolution with a single-step mutation model turns out to be well predicted by a method using discrete Laplace distributions.

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-17 Mikkel Meyer Andersen , Poul Svante Eriksen , Niels Morling

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Somayeh Yarahmadi , Lamine Mili

We study inference for the driving L\'evy noise of an ergodic stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, when the process is observed at high-frequency and long time and when the drift and scale coefficients contain finite-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hiroki Masuda , Lorenzo Mercuri , Yuma Uehara

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-05 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

In this article, we present a novel inference framework for estimating the parameters of Continuous-State Branching Processes (CSBPs). We do so by leveraging their subordinator representation. Our method reformulates the estimation problem…

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

This work focuses on topics related to Hamiltonian stochastic differential equations with L\'{e}vy noise. We first show that the phase flow of the stochastic system preserves symplectic structure, and propose a stochastic version of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Pingyuan Wei , Ying Chao , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we study the nonparametric estimation of the density $f_\Delta$ of an increment of a L\'evy process $X$ based on $n$ observations with a sampling rate $\Delta$. The class of L\'evy processes considered is broad, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Céline Duval , Taher Jalal , Ester Mariucci

We construct an estimator of the L\'evy density of a pure jump L\'evy process, possibly of infinite variation, from the discrete observation of one trajectory at high frequency. The novelty of our procedure is that we directly estimate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Céline Duval , Ester Mariucci

Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alexandre Brouste , Hiroki Masuda

As the number of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to grow, the demand for charging stations is also increasing, leading to challenges such as long wait times and insufficient infrastructure. High-precision forecasting of EV charging demand…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Saba Sanami , Hesam Mosalli , Yu Yang , Hen-Geul Yeh , Amir G. Aghdam