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We establish the Level-1 and Level-3 Large Deviation Principles (LDPs) for invariant measures on shift spaces over finite alphabets under very general decoupling conditions for which the thermodynamic formalism does not apply. Such…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-06-28 Noé Cuneo , Vojkan Jakšić , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

We prove a sample path Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for a class of jump processes whose rates are not uniformly Lipschitz continuous in phase space. Building on it we further establish the corresponding Wentzell-Freidlin (W-F) (infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Andrea Agazzi , Amir Dembo , Jean-Pierre Eckmann

We establish the large deviations principle (LDP) and the moderate deviations principle (MDP) and an almost sure version of the central limit theorem (CLT) for the stochastic 3D viscous primitive equations driven by a multiplicative white…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jakub Slavík

We study the concept of quadratic variation of a continuous path along a sequence of partitions and its dependence with respect to the choice of the partition sequence. We define the concept of quadratic roughness of a path along a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Rama Cont , Purba Das

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

We consider a system of differential equations in a fast long range dependent random environment and prove a homogenization theorem involving multiple scaling constants. The effective dynamics solves a rough differential equation, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Johann Gehringer , Xue-Mei Li

We establish a Freidlin-Wentzell type large deviation principle (LDP) for a class of stochastic partial differential equations with locally monotone coefficients driven by L\'evy noise. Our results essentially improve a recent work on this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Weina Wu , Jianliang Zhai , Jiahui Zhu

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone

We study a class of linear first and second order partial differential equations driven by weak geometric $p$-rough paths, and prove the existence of a unique solution for these equations. This solution depends continuously on the driving…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2008-03-24 Michael Caruana , Peter Friz

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

We establish universal approximation theorems for infinite-dimensional geometric rough paths, i.e., we show that continuous functions on the space of infinite-dimensional weakly geometric H\"older continuous rough paths can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Sonja Cox , Asma Khedher , Thijs Maessen

When the one-form is $Lip\left(\gamma-1\right) $ with $\gamma >p\geq 1$, we construct the integral of a branched $p$-rough path, which defines another branched $p$-rough path. We derive a quantitative bound for this integral and prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Xinru Liu , Danyu Yang

In offline reinforcement learning (RL), the absence of active exploration calls for attention on the model robustness to tackle the sim-to-real gap, where the discrepancy between the simulated and deployed environments can significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 He Wang , Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi

Using a large dataset on major FX rates, we test the robustness of the rough fractional volatility model over different time scales, by including smoothing and measurement errors into the analysis. Our findings lead to new stylized facts in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-09 Matthieu Garcin , Martino Grasselli

Under scenario of high frequency data, consistent estimator of realized Laplace transform of volatility is proposed by \citet{TT2012a} and related central limit theorem has been well established. In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Xinwei Feng , Lidan He , Zhi Liu

We consider the moment space $\mathcal{M}_n^{K}$ corresponding to $p \times p$ complex matrix measures defined on $K$ ($K=[0,1]$ or $K=\D$). We endow this set with the uniform law. We are mainly interested in large deviations principles…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Fabrice Gamboa , Jan Nagel , Alain Rouault , Jens Wagener

We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

The calibration of a local volatility models to a given set of option prices is a classical problem of mathematical finance. It was considered in multiple papers where various solutions were proposed. In this paper an extension of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-19 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

We study multidimensional stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function of a continuous multidimensional Volterra process that can be not self-similar. The main results obtained in this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Giulia Catalini , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The latent position model (LPM) is a popular method used in network data analysis where nodes are assumed to be positioned in a $p$-dimensional latent space. The latent shrinkage position model (LSPM) is an extension of the LPM which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Xian Yao Gwee , Isobel Claire Gormley , Michael Fop
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