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Common high-dimensional methods for prediction rely on having either a sparse signal model, a model in which most parameters are zero and there are a small number of non-zero parameters that are large in magnitude, or a dense signal model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao

We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

Artificial Neural Networks are connectionist systems that perform a given task by learning on examples without having prior knowledge about the task. This is done by finding an optimal point estimate for the weights in every node.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Kumar Shridhar , Felix Laumann , Marcus Liwicki

Regularized regression has become very popular nowadays, particularly on high-dimensional problems where the addition of a penalty term to the log-likelihood allows inference where traditional methods fail. A number of penalties have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

This paper introduces the variational R\'enyi bound (VR) that extends traditional variational inference to R\'enyi's alpha-divergences. This new family of variational methods unifies a number of existing approaches, and enables a smooth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is introduced to expand the commonly used analytic variational distribution family, by mixing the variational parameter with a flexible distribution. This mixing distribution can assume any density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of high-dimensional Gaussian vectors from multi-attribute data. Most existing methods for graph estimation are based on single-attribute models where one…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jitendra K Tugnait

We empirically evaluate a stochastic annealing strategy for Bayesian posterior optimization with variational inference. Variational inference is a deterministic approach to approximate posterior inference in Bayesian models in which a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-26 San Gultekin , Aonan Zhang , John Paisley

The log-logistic regression model is one of the most commonly used accelerated failure time (AFT) models in survival analysis, for which statistical inference methods are mainly established under the frequentist framework. Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Chengqian Xian , Camila P. E. de Souza , Wenqing He , Felipe F. Rodrigues , Renfang Tian

We propose simple methods for multivariate diffusion bridge simulation, which plays a fundamental role in simulation-based likelihood and Bayesian inference for stochastic differential equations. By a novel application of classical coupling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-02 Mogens Bladt , Samuel Finch , Michael Sørensen

Ridge regression is a popular method for dense least squares regularization. In this work, ridge regression is studied in the context of VAR model estimation and inference. The implications of anisotropic penalization are discussed and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Giovanni Ballarin

The expressiveness of flow-based models combined with stochastic variational inference (SVI) has expanded the application of optimization-based Bayesian inference to highly complex problems. However, despite the importance of multi-model…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Laurence Davies , Dan Mackinlay , Rafael Oliveira , Scott A. Sisson

We develop a fully automatic Bayesian Lasso via variational inference. This is a scalable procedure for approximating the posterior distribution. Special attention is driven to the knot selection in regression spline. In order to carry…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-01 Larissa Alves , Ronaldo Dias , Helio S. Migon

Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Beyza Ermis , A. Taylan Cemgil

We have utilized the non-conjugate Variational Bayesian (VB) method for the problem of the sparse Poisson regression model. To provide approximate conjugacy in the model, the likelihood is approximated by a quadratic function, yielding…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Mitra Kharabati , Morteza Amini , Mohammad Arashi

We consider the bridge linear regression modeling, which can produce a sparse or non-sparse model. A crucial point in the model building process is the selection of adjusted parameters including a regularization parameter and a tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-19 Shuichi Kawano

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Continuous latent time series models are prevalent in Bayesian modeling; examples include the Kalman filter, dynamic collaborative filtering, or dynamic topic models. These models often benefit from structured, non mean field variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-05 Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt

We describe a limitation in the expressiveness of the predictive uncertainty estimate given by mean-field variational inference (MFVI), a popular approximate inference method for Bayesian neural networks. In particular, MFVI fails to give…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-28 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Yingzhen Li , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Richard E. Turner