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Standard A/B tests in online experiments face statistical power challenges when testing multiple candidates simultaneously, while adaptive experimental designs (AED) alone fall short in inferring experiment statistics such as the average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Qining Zhang , Tanner Fiez , Yi Liu , Wenyang Liu

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

In the context of multiple hypotheses testing, the proportion $\pi_0$ of true null hypotheses in the pool of hypotheses to test often plays a crucial role, although it is generally unknown a priori. A testing procedure using an implicit or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-17 Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We establish a link between a class of discrete choice models and the theory of online learning and multi-armed bandits. Our contributions are: (i) sublinear regret bounds for a broad algorithmic family, encompassing Exp3 as a special case;…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Emerson Melo , David Müller

This PhD thesis has the following structure: Chapter 1 - General introduction; Chapter 2 - Preliminaries; Chapter 3 - The Replicated Transfer Matrix; Chapter 4 - Finite Size Corrections On Random Graphs; Chapter 5 - The Random Field Ising…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-02-20 Carlo Lucibello

Multi-arm trials are gaining interest in practice given the statistical and logistical advantages they can offer. The standard approach uses a fixed allocation ratio, but there is a call for making it adaptive and skewing the allocation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Gianmarco Caruso , Pavel Mozgunov

Practitioners conducting adaptive experiments often encounter two competing priorities: maximizing total welfare (or `reward') through effective treatment assignment and swiftly concluding experiments to implement population-wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Chao Qin , Daniel Russo

We establish an asymptotic framework for the statistical analysis of the stochastic contextual multi-armed bandit problem (CMAB), which is widely employed in adaptively randomized experiments across various fields. While algorithms for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-21 Ramon van den Akker , Bas J. M. Werker , Bo Zhou

In performative prediction, the deployment of a predictive model triggers a shift in the data distribution. As these shifts are typically unknown ahead of time, the learner needs to deploy a model to get feedback about the distribution it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Meena Jagadeesan , Tijana Zrnic , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

This article aims to study efficient/trace optimal designs for crossover trials with multiple responses recorded from each subject in the time periods. A multivariate fixed effects model is proposed with direct and carryover effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Shubham Niphadkar , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

Computer experiments with quantitative and qualitative inputs are widely used to study many scientific and engineering processes. Much of the existing work has focused on design and modeling or process optimization for such experiments.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 A. Shahrokhian , X. Deng , C. D. Lin , P. Ranjan , L. Xu

We consider nonstationary multi-armed bandit problems where the model parameters of the arms change over time. We introduce the adaptive resetting bandit (ADR-bandit), a bandit algorithm class that leverages adaptive windowing techniques…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-27 Junpei Komiyama , Edouard Fouché , Junya Honda

Contextual bandits often provide simple and effective personalization in decision making problems, making them popular tools to deliver personalized interventions in mobile health as well as other health applications. However, when bandits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Jiayu Yao , Emma Brunskill , Weiwei Pan , Susan Murphy , Finale Doshi-Velez

Clinical trials involving multiple treatments utilize randomization of the treatment assignments to enable the evaluation of treatment efficacies in an unbiased manner. Such evaluation is performed in post hoc studies that usually use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Yogatheesan Varatharajah , Brent Berry , Sanmi Koyejo , Ravishankar Iyer

This paper introduces the \emph{confounded pure exploration transductive linear bandit} (\texttt{CPET-LB}) problem. As a motivating example, often online services cannot directly assign users to specific control or treatment experiences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yao Zhao , Kwang-Sung Jun , Tanner Fiez , Lalit Jain

Multifidelity approximation is an important technique in scientific computation and simulation. In this paper, we introduce a bandit-learning approach for leveraging data of varying fidelities to achieve precise estimates of the parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Yiming Xu , Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

In this paper, we consider the setting of piecewise i.i.d. bandits under a safety constraint. In this piecewise i.i.d. setting, there exists a finite number of changepoints where the mean of some or all arms change simultaneously. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Subhojyoti Mukherjee

A key feature of sequential decision making under uncertainty is a need to balance between exploiting--choosing the best action according to the current knowledge, and exploring--obtaining information about values of other actions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Dimitrije Markovic , Hrvoje Stojic , Sarah Schwoebel , Stefan J. Kiebel

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang
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