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Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

Increasing evidence suggests that cities are complex systems, with structural and dynamical features responsible for a broad spectrum of emerging phenomena. Here we use a unique data set of human flows and couple it with information on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-22 Riccardo Gallotti , Giulia Bertagnolli , Manlio De Domenico

The last two decades have seen a tremendous surge in research on social networks and their implications. The studies includes inferring social relationships, which in turn have been used for target advertising, recommendations, search…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Deshana Desai , Harsh Nisar , Rishab Bhardawaj

Graph models are widely used to analyse diffusion processes embedded in social contacts and to develop applications. A range of graph models are available to replicate the underlying social structures and dynamics realistically. However,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Md Shahzamal , Raja Jurdak , Bernard Mans , Frank de Hoog

This paper studies the evolution of economic activities using a continuous time-space aggregation-diffusion model, which encompasses competing effects of agglomeration and congestion. To bring the model to the real data, a novel…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-31 Davide Fiaschi , Angela Parenti , Cristiano Ricci

Income inequality is a major contributor to health disparities, yet its effects often vary by geography and are commonly represented as compositional distributions (e.g., proportions of households across income brackets). Existing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Jingwen Deng , Shujie Ma , Sergio J. Rey , Guanyu Hu

Time plays an essential role in the diffusion of information, influence and disease over networks. In many cases we only observe when a node copies information, makes a decision or becomes infected -- but the connectivity, transmission…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-05-05 Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , David Balduzzi , Bernhard Schölkopf

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the effective dynamics of multiscale diffusion processes with (at least) two widely separated characteristic time scales. More precisely, we seek to determine parameters in the effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Serafim Kalliadasis

Recent advances in deep learning have enabled the inference of urban socioeconomic characteristics from satellite imagery. However, models relying solely on urbanization traits often show weak correlations with poverty indicators, as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Sungwon Park , Sumin Lee , Jihee Kim , Jae-Gil Lee , Meeyoung Cha , Jeasurk Yang , Donghyun Ahn

Measuring socioeconomic deprivation of cities in an accurate and timely fashion has become a priority for governments around the world, as the massive urbanization process we are witnessing is causing high levels of inequalities which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-20 Alessandro Venerandi , Giovanni Quattrone , Licia Capra , Daniele Quercia , Diego Saez-Trumper

Statistical inference using social sensors is an area that has witnessed remarkable progress and is relevant in applications including localizing events for targeted advertising, marketing, localization of natural disasters and predicting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Vikram Krishnamurthy , William Hoiles

Most social, technological and biological networks are embedded in a finite dimensional space, and the distance between two nodes influences the likelihood that they link to each other. Indeed, in social systems, the chance that two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-27 Paul Balister , Chaoming Song , Oliver Riordan , Bela Bollobas , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Segregation is a growing concern around the world. One of its main manifestations is the creation of ghettos, whose inhabitants have difficult access to well-paid jobs, which are often located far from their homes. In order to study this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 D. Ortega , E. Korutcheva

The distribution of household income is a central concern of modern economic policy due to its strong influence on life quality. Yet, non-expert audiences are unaware of the relationship between these two factors. To effectively communicate…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-10 Sang Truong , Humberto Barreto

Heterogeneity is a key aspect of complex networks, often emerging by looking at the distribution of node properties, from the milestone observations on the degree to the recent developments in mixing pattern estimation. Mixing patterns, in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Salvatore Citraro , Letizia Milli , Rémy Cazabet , Giulio Rossetti

Social discrimination seems to be a persistent phenomenon in many cultures. It is important to understand the mechanisms that lead people to judge others by the group to which they belong, rather than individual qualities. It was recently…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-12-11 Gorm Gruner Jensen , Frederik Tischel , Stefan Bornholdt

Poverty maps are essential tools for governments and NGOs to track socioeconomic changes and adequately allocate infrastructure and services in places in need. Sensor and online crowd-sourced data combined with machine learning methods have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Lisette Espín-Noboa , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

We study the dynamics of phase synchronization in growing populations of discrete phase oscillatory systems when the division process is coupled to the distribution of oscillator phases. Using mean field theory, linear stability analysis,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 Wen Yu , Kevin B. Wood

Subgraphs and cycles are often used to characterize the local properties of complex networks. Here we show that the subgraph structure of real networks is highly time dependent: as the network grows, the density of some subgraphs remains…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexei Vazquez , Joao G. Oliveira , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi
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