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We consider a stochastic factor financial model where the asset price process and the process for the stochastic factor depend on an observable Markov chain and exhibit an affine structure. We are faced with a finite time investment horizon…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Marcos Escobar , Daniela Neykova , Rudi Zagst

This study develops a regime-aware portfolio allocation framework that integrates Markov switching models with Reinforcement Learning (RL) to dynamically allocate across equities (SPY), long-term Treasuries (TLT), and gold (GLD). Using…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-28 Ajay Kumar Verma , Nunik Srikandi Putri , Neo Paul Lesupi

In this paper we study a class of time-inconsistent terminal Markovian control problems in discrete time subject to model uncertainty. We combine the concept of the sub-game perfect strategies with the adaptive robust stochastic to tackle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco

In this paper, we are concerned with the optimization of a dynamic investment portfolio when the securities which follow a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps are periodically invested and proceed by approximating the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-26 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

Recent advances in quantum hardware offer new approaches to solve various optimization problems that can be computationally expensive when classical algorithms are employed. We propose a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm to solve a dynamic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-23 H. Xu , S. Dasgupta , A. Pothen , A. Banerjee

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

A Hidden Markov Model for intraday momentum trading is presented which specifies a latent momentum state responsible for generating the observed securities' noisy returns. Existing momentum trading models suffer from time-lagging caused by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-22 Hugh Christensen , Simon Godsill , Richard E Turner

Modeling and managing portfolio risk is perhaps the most important step to achieve growing and preserving investment performance. Within the modern portfolio construction framework that built on Markowitz's theory, the covariance matrix of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-28 Hengxu Lin , Dong Zhou , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a generative model that treats sequential data under the assumption that each observation is conditioned on the state of a discrete hidden variable that evolves in time as a Markov chain. In this paper, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-07 Emanuele Coviello , Antoni B. Chan , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

We consider an investor faced with the utility maximization problem in which the risky asset price process has pure-jump dynamics affected by an unobservable continuous-time finite-state Markov chain, the intensity of which can also be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-13 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

Motivated by empirical evidence for rough volatility models, this paper investigates continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection under the Volterra Heston model. Due to the non-Markovian and non-semimartingale nature of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-30 Bingyan Han , Hoi Ying Wong

This paper analyses a $(1,\lambda)$-Evolution Strategy, a randomised comparison-based adaptive search algorithm, on a simple constraint optimisation problem. The algorithm uses resampling to handle the constraint and optimizes a linear…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

This study first reviews fuzzy random Portfolio selection theory and describes the concept of portfolio optimization model as a useful instrument for helping finance practitioners and researchers. Second, this paper specifically aims at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mir Ehsan Hesam Sadati , Ali Doniavi

In this paper, we propose a new class of optimization problems, which maximize the terminal wealth and accumulated consumption utility subject to a mean variance criterion controlling the final risk of the portfolio. The multiple-objective…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-30 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xin-Jiang He , Song-Ping Zhu

Markowitz's celebrated mean--variance portfolio optimization theory assumes that the means and covariances of the underlying asset returns are known. In practice, they are unknown and have to be estimated from historical data. Plugging the…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-05 Tze Leung Lai , Haipeng Xing , Zehao Chen

One of the reasons that higher order moment portfolio optimization methods are not fully used by practitioners in investment decisions is the complexity that these higher moments create by making the optimization problem nonconvex. Many few…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Farshad Noravesh

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

We study a continuous-time portfolio choice problem for an investor whose state-dependent preferences are determined by an exogenous factor that evolves as an It\^o diffusion process. Since risk attitudes at the end of the investment…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Sascha Desmettre , Yevhen Havrylenko , Mogens Steffensen

This paper addresses the importance of incorporating various risk measures in portfolio management and proposes a dynamic hybrid portfolio optimization model that combines the spectral risk measure and the Value-at-Risk in the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Weiping Wu , Yu Lin , Jianjun Gao , Ke Zhou

Under mean-variance-utility framework, we propose a new portfolio selection model, which allows wealth and time both have influences on risk aversion in the process of investment. We solved the model under a game theoretic framework and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xin-Jiang He , Song-Ping Zhu
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