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Related papers: Treatment Choice with Nonlinear Regret

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This paper considers the estimation of treatment assignment rules when the policy maker faces a general budget or resource constraint. Utilizing the PAC-Bayesian framework, we propose new treatment assignment rules that allow for flexible…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-12 Daniel F. Pellatt

We explore the construction of nonsubjective prior distributions in Bayesian statistics via a posterior predictive relative entropy regret criterion. We carry out a minimax analysis based on a derived asymptotic predictive loss function and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Trevor J. Sweeting , Gauri S. Datta , Malay Ghosh

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are personalized, adaptive, multi-stage treatment plans that adapt treatment decisions both to an individual's initial features and to intermediate outcomes and features at each subsequent stage, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-22 Yichun Hu , Nathan Kallus

We consider the classic problem of online convex optimisation. Whereas the notion of static regret is relevant for stationary problems, the notion of switching regret is more appropriate for non-stationary problems. A switching regret is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Stephen Pasteris , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis , Mark Herbster

Deep reinforcement learning has achieved impressive successes yet often requires a very large amount of interaction data. This result is perhaps unsurprising, as using complicated function approximation often requires more data to fit, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Jonathan N. Lee , Aldo Pacchiano , Vidya Muthukumar , Weihao Kong , Emma Brunskill

The problem of regret minimization for online adaptive control of linear-quadratic systems is studied. In this problem, the true system transition parameters (matrices $A$ and $B$) are unknown, and the objective is to design and analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Mohammad Akbari , Bahman Gharesifard , Tamas Linder

We study the repeated optimal stopping problem, in which the same optimal stopping instance with an unknown distribution is solved repeatedly over $T$ rounds. We aim to simultaneously achieve strong per-round performance guarantees relative…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Tsubasa Harada , Yasushi Kawase , Hanna Sumita

The minmax regret problem for combinatorial optimization under uncertainty can be viewed as a zero-sum game played between an optimizing player and an adversary, where the optimizing player selects a solution and the adversary selects costs…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Andrew Mastin , Patrick Jaillet , Sang Chin

In this paper we consider stochastic multiarmed bandit problems. Recently a policy, DMED, is proposed and proved to achieve the asymptotic bound for the model that each reward distribution is supported in a known bounded interval, e.g.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-20 Junya Honda , Akimichi Takemura

We prove a new minimax theorem connecting the worst-case Bayesian regret and minimax regret under partial monitoring with no assumptions on the space of signals or decisions of the adversary. We then generalise the information-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Tor Lattimore , Csaba Szepesvari

We provide an algorithm that achieves the optimal regret rate in an unknown weakly communicating Markov Decision Process (MDP). The algorithm proceeds in episodes where, in each episode, it picks a policy using regularization based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Peter L. Bartlett , Ambuj Tewari

Policy learning in modern operations environments faces a fundamental tension between limited operational data and the large, often continuous, state and action spaces over which good decisions must be identified and deployed. We study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Shengbo Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a core problem in causal inference with strong connections to Off-Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning. This paper considers the problem of adaptively selecting the treatment…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-22 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

The setting of an agent making decisions under uncertainty and under dynamic constraints is common for the fields of optimal control, reinforcement learning, and recently also for online learning. In the online learning setting, the quality…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-18 Aren Karapetyan , Anastasios Tsiamis , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

We study the regret of optimal strategies for online convex optimization games. Using von Neumann's minimax theorem, we show that the optimal regret in this adversarial setting is closely related to the behavior of the empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-04-01 Jacob Abernethy , Alekh Agarwal , Peter L. Bartlett , Alexander Rakhlin

This paper introduces a new problem-dependent regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses. The notion, which we call the $G^\star$ regret, depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm evaluated at the decision in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Wenzhi Gao , Chang He , Madeleine Udell

In recent years, significant attention has been directed towards learning average-reward Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). However, existing algorithms either suffer from sub-optimal regret guarantees or computational inefficiencies. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Victor Boone , Zihan Zhang

Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen (i.e., value function) is the key step toward personalized medicine. We define our target parameter as a conditional value function given a set of baseline covariates which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Ashkan Ertefaie , Luke Duttweiler , Brent A. Johnson , Mark J. van der Laan

Online learning algorithms have been successfully used to design caching policies with sublinear regret in the total number of requests, with no statistical assumption about the request sequence. Most existing algorithms involve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Younes Ben Mazziane , Francescomaria Faticanti , Sara Alouf , Giovanni Neglia

This letter studies the problem of online multi-step-ahead prediction for unknown linear stochastic systems. Using conditional distribution theory, we derive an optimal parameterization of the prediction policy as a linear function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng