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This study introduces an agent-based model to study how regret, uncertainty, and social norms interact to shape vaccination behavior during epidemics. The model integrates three behavioral mechanisms, anticipated regret, evolving norms, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Christos Charalambous

This work introduces the first small-loss and gradual-variation regret bounds for online portfolio selection, marking the first instances of data-dependent bounds for online convex optimization with non-Lipschitz, non-smooth losses. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Chung-En Tsai , Ying-Ting Lin , Yen-Huan Li

In treatment allocation problems the individuals to be treated often arrive sequentially. We study a problem in which the policy maker is not only interested in the expected cumulative welfare but is also concerned about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-24 Anders Bredahl Kock , Martin Thyrsgaard

This work theoretically studies a ubiquitous reinforcement learning policy for controlling the canonical model of continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems. We show that randomized certainty equivalent policy addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh

This paper studies the one-shot behavior of no-regret algorithms for stochastic bandits. Although many algorithms are known to be asymptotically optimal with respect to the expected regret, over a single run, their pseudo-regret seems to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Victor Boone

The goal of this paper is to characterize Gaussian-Process optimization in the setting where the function domain is large relative to the number of admissible function evaluations, i.e., where it is impossible to find the global optimum. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Manuel Wüthrich , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause

Here and in a companion paper, we consider a simple control problem in which the underlying dynamics depend on a parameter $a$ that is unknown and must be learned. In this paper, we assume that $a$ can be any real number and we do not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Jacob Carruth , Maximilian F. Eggl , Charles Fefferman , Clarence W. Rowley

This note describes the optimal policy rule, according to the local asymptotic minimax regret criterion, for best arm identification when there are only two treatments. It is shown that the optimal sampling rule is the Neyman allocation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-29 Karun Adusumilli

In this paper, we consider the problem of sequentially optimizing a black-box function $f$ based on noisy samples and bandit feedback. We assume that $f$ is smooth in the sense of having a bounded norm in some reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-01 Jonathan Scarlett , Ilijia Bogunovic , Volkan Cevher

No-regret learning has emerged as a powerful tool for solving extensive-form games. This was facilitated by the counterfactual-regret minimization (CFR) framework, which relies on the instantiation of regret minimizers for simplexes at each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Gabriele Farina , Christian Kroer , Tuomas Sandholm

An important problem in sequential decision-making under uncertainty is to use limited data to compute a safe policy, i.e., a policy that is guaranteed to perform at least as well as a given baseline strategy. In this paper, we develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-14 Marek Petrik , Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

Some of the most compelling applications of online convex optimization, including online prediction and classification, are unconstrained: the natural feasible set is R^n. Existing algorithms fail to achieve sub-linear regret in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Matthew Streeter , H. Brendan McMahan

We consider a stochastic bandit problem with infinitely many arms. In this setting, the learner has no chance of trying all the arms even once and has to dedicate its limited number of samples only to a certain number of arms. All previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Alexandra Carpentier , Michal Valko

We consider regret minimization in repeated games with non-convex loss functions. Minimizing the standard notion of regret is computationally intractable. Thus, we define a natural notion of regret which permits efficient optimization and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-06 Elad Hazan , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang

We propose an optimal iterative scheme for federated transfer learning, where a central planner has access to datasets ${\cal D}_1,\dots,{\cal D}_N$ for the same learning model $f_{\theta}$. Our objective is to minimize the cumulative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Xuwei Yang , Anastasis Kratsios , Florian Krach , Matheus Grasselli , Aurelien Lucchi

We study the regret performance of Sample Average Approximation (SAA) for data-driven newsvendor problems with general convex inventory costs. In literature, the optimality of SAA has not been fully established under both \alpha-global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Jiameng Lyu , Shilin Yuan , Bingkun Zhou , Yuan Zhou

Consider a causal structure with endogeneity (i.e., unobserved confoundedness) in empirical data, where an instrumental variable is available. In this setting, we show that the mean social welfare function can be identified and represented…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-15 Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

In this paper we study treatment assignment rules in the presence of social interaction. We construct an analytical framework under the anonymous interaction assumption, where the decision problem becomes choosing a treatment fraction. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-11 Seungjin Han , Julius Owusu , Youngki Shin

We derive an alternative proof for the regret of Thompson sampling (\ts) in the stochastic linear bandit setting. While we obtain a regret bound of order $\widetilde{O}(d^{3/2}\sqrt{T})$ as in previous results, the proof sheds new light on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-06 Marc Abeille , Alessandro Lazaric

We analyze the minimax regret of the adversarial bandit convex optimization problem. Focusing on the one-dimensional case, we prove that the minimax regret is $\widetilde\Theta(\sqrt{T})$ and partially resolve a decade-old open problem. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Sébastien Bubeck , Ofer Dekel , Tomer Koren , Yuval Peres