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We study recursive maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic interacting particle systems based on continuous observation of a single particle. In this regime, consistent estimation of the finite-particle log-likelihood is not possible,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of a system of birth and death processes in mean field type interaction in discrete space. We first establish the exponential convergence of the particle system to equilibrium for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Marie-Noémie Thai

Consider the nonparametric logistic regression problem. In the logistic regression, we usually consider the maximum likelihood estimator, and the excess risk is the expectation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Atsutomo Yara , Yoshikazu Terada

Bayesian sampling is an important task in statistics and machine learning. Over the past decade, many ensemble-type sampling methods have been proposed. In contrast to the classical Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, these new methods deploy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Shi Chen , Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

This article introduces a novel approach to the mean-field limit of stochastic systems of interacting particles, leading to the first ever derivation of the mean-field limit to the Vlasov-Poisson-Fokker-Planck system for plasmas in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Didier Bresch , Pierre-Emmanuel Jabin , Juan Soler

Static and dynamical aspects of nuclear systems are described through an extended time-dependent mean-field approach. The foundations of the formalism are presented, with highlights on the estimation of average values and their…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-06-02 G. Besse , V. de la Mota , E. Bonnet , P. Eudes , P. Napolitani , Z. Basrak

Over the last decades, various "non-linear" MCMC methods have arisen. While appealing for their convergence speed and efficiency, their practical implementation and theoretical study remain challenging. In this paper, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Grégoire Clarté , Antoine Diez , Jean Feydy

We develop an Euler-type particle method for the simulation of a McKean--Vlasov equation arising from a mean-field model with positive feedback from hitting a boundary. Under assumptions on the parameters which ensure differentiable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-31 Vadim Kaushansky , Christoph Reisinger

This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

We consider a system of $N$ particles whose interactions are characterized by a (weighted) graph $G^N$. Each particle is a node of the graph with an internal state. The state changes according to Markovian dynamics that depend on the states…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Sebastian Allmeier , Nicolas Gast

We study the problem of parameter estimation for large exchangeable interacting particle systems when a sample of discrete observations from a single particle is known. We propose a novel method based on martingale estimating functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

We establish global rates of convergence of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of a multivariate distribution function in the case of (one type of) "interval censored" data. The main finding is that the rate of convergence of the MLE in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Jon A. Wellner , Fuchang Gao

This paper deals with the problem of inference associated with linear fractional diffusion process with random effects in the drift. In particular we are concerned with the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the random effect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-04 El Omari Mohamed , Hamid El Maroufy , Christiane Fuchs

The Random Batch Method proposed in our previous work [Jin et al., J. Comput. Phys., 400(1), 2020] is not only a numerical method for interacting particle systems and its mean-field limit, but also can be viewed as a model of particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Shi Jin , Lei Li

The Mutual Information (MI) is an often used measure of dependency between two random variables utilized in information theory, statistics and machine learning. Recently several MI estimators have been proposed that can achieve parametric…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Morteza Noshad , Yu Zeng , Alfred O. Hero

This work focuses on the mean field stochastic partial differential equations with nonlinear kernels. We first prove the existence and uniqueness of strong and weak solutions for mean field stochastic partial differential equations in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu

We provide a theoretical treatment of over-specified Gaussian mixtures of experts with covariate-free gating networks. We establish the convergence rates of the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for these models. Our proof technique is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Nhat Ho , Chiao-Yu Yang , Michael I. Jordan

This paper presents a particle-based optimization method designed for addressing minimization problems with equality constraints, particularly in cases where the loss function exhibits non-differentiability or non-convexity. The proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 José A. Carrillo , Shi Jin , Haoyu Zhang , Yuhua Zhu

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the drift coefficient for fractional stochastic heat equation driven by an additive space-time noise. We consider the traditional for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Igor Cialenco , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Hyun-Jung Kim

Incorporating social interactions is essential to an accurate modeling of epidemic spreading. This work proposes a novel local mean-field density functional theory model by using the sum-of-exponential approximation of convolution kernels…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-09 Ziheng Xu , Shenggao Zhou
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