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In the study of heavy tail data, several models have been introduced. If the interest is in the tail of the distribution, block maxima or excess over thresholds are the typical approaches, wasting relevant information in the bulk of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified thousands of genetic variants associated with human traits or diseases in the past decade. Nevertheless, much of the heritability of many traits is still unaccounted for. Commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-22 Qiaolan Deng , Chi Song , Shili Lin

We discuss common errors and fallacies when using naive "evidence based" empiricism and point forecasts for fat-tailed variables, as well as the insufficiency of using naive first-order scientific methods for tail risk management. We use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-03 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Pasquale Cirillo

The notion of tail adversarial stability has been proven useful in obtaining limit theorems for tail dependent time series. Its implication and advantage over the classical strong mixing framework has been examined for max-linear processes,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Shuyang Bai , Ting Zhang

We present a new method to extract anisotropic flow in heavy ion collisions from the genuine correlation among a large number of particles. Anisotropic flow is obtained from the zeroes in the complex plane of a generating function of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 R. S. Bhalerao , N. Borghini , J. -Y. Ollitrault

Complex fluids transition from laminar to transitory flow above a critical control parameter, akin to their Newtonian counterparts. In a continuum mechanics sense, fluid elements follow the ensuing complex trajectories, giving rise to…

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising approach for tackling the robustness challenge under distribution shifts. However, the lack of consistent settings and systematic studies in prior literature hinders thorough…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Hao Zhao , Yuejiang Liu , Alexandre Alahi , Tao Lin

Fine-tuning is widely applied in image classification tasks as a transfer learning approach. It re-uses the knowledge from a source task to learn and obtain a high performance in target tasks. Fine-tuning is able to alleviate the challenge…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Xuyang Shen , Jo Plested , Sabrina Caldwell , Yiran Zhong , Tom Gedeon

We investigate the impact of an anisotropic surface tension on the late-stage dilute phase separation dynamics, revisiting the seminal Lifshitz-Slyozov (LS) theory, which traditionally relies on the assumption of isotropic surface tension.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Arjun R. Anand , Melinda M. Andrews , Benjamin P. Vollmayr-Lee

Lattice Boltzmann methods are usually derived under the assumption of isotropy. In this work, we present a derivation of a Lattice Boltzmann method for anisotropic fluid flow. Starting from an anisotropic equilibrium distribution, we show a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-27 Benjamin Kellers , Julius Weinmiller , Arnulf Latz , Timo Danner

(The third edition corrects minor typos and adds 3 chapters synthesized from published papers plus an appendix on maximum entropy distributions.) The monograph investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-09-18 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We analyze quantitatively the effect of spurious multifractality induced by the presence of fat-tailed symmetric and asymmetric probability distributions of fluctuations in time series. In the presented approach different kinds of symmetric…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Rafal Rak , Dariusz Grech

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We introduce L\'evy-Flows, a class of normalizing flow models that replace the standard Gaussian base distribution with L\'evy process-based distributions, specifically Variance Gamma (VG) and Normal-Inverse Gaussian (NIG). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rachid Drissi

Understanding multivariate dependencies in both the bulk and the tails of a distribution is an important problem for many applications, such as ensuring algorithms are robust to observations that are infrequent but have devastating effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Yuting Ng , Ali Hasan , Vahid Tarokh

Sampling from high-dimensional, multi-modal distributions remains a fundamental challenge across domains such as statistical Bayesian inference and physics-based machine learning. In this paper, we propose Annealing Flow (AF), a method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-28 Dongze Wu , Yao Xie

The normal distribution and its perturbation has left an immense mark on the statistical literature. Hence, several generalized forms were developed to model different skewness, kurtosis, and body shapes. However, it is not easy to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Matthias Wagener , Mohammad Arashi

We consider the release and subsequent gravity-driven spreading of a finite volume of fluid in an anisotropic porous medium bounded by an impermeable substrate. When the permeability in the vertical direction is much smaller than the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-24 GP Benham

Tail Averaging improves on Polyak averaging's non-asymptotic behaviour by excluding a number of leading iterates of stochastic optimization from its calculations. In practice, with a finite number of optimization steps and a learning rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Gábor Melis

We study generative modeling on convex domains using flow matching and mirror maps, and identify two fundamental challenges. First, standard log-barrier mirror maps induce heavy-tailed dual distributions, leading to ill-posed dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Yunrui Guan , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Shiqian Ma
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