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Concentration inequalities, which have proved very useful in a variety of fields, provide fairly tight bounds on large deviation probabilities while central limit theorem (CLT) describes the asymptotic distribution around the mean (at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Changqing Liu

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

New Vapnik and Chervonenkis type concentration inequalities are derived for the empirical distribution of an independent random sample. Focus is on the maximal deviation over classes of Borel sets within a low probability region. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Stéphane Lhaut , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

It is shown that at least 50% of the probability mass of a sum of independent Rademacher random variables is within one standard deviation from its mean. This lower bound is sharp, it is much better than for instance the bound that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Martien C. A. van Zuijlen

For a polynomial $P_n$ of degree $n$, Bernstein's inequality states that $\|P_n'\| \le n \|P_n\|$ for all $L^p$ norms on the unit circle, $0<p\le\infty,$ with equality for $P_n(z)= c z^n.$ We study this inequality for random polynomials,…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2018-10-24 Igor Pritsker , Koushik Ramachandran

Derandomization of Chernoff bound with union bound is already proven in many papers. We here give another explicit version of it that obtains a construction of size that is arbitrary close to the probabilistic nonconstructive size. We apply…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-08-05 Nader H. Bshouty

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Olivier Bachem , Mario Lucic , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-02 Xinjia Chen

The purpose of the present notes is to examine the following issues related to the the Chernoff estimate: (1) For contractions on a Banach space we modify the $\sqrt{n}$-estimate and apply it in the proof of the Chernoff product formula for…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Valentin A. Zagrebnov

The law of large numbers extends to random sets by employing Minkowski addition. Above that, a central limit theorem is available for set-valued random variables. The existing results use abstract isometries to describe convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Alois Pichler

The notion of belief likelihood function of repeated trials is introduced, whenever the uncertainty for individual trials is encoded by a belief measure (a finite random set). This generalises the traditional likelihood function, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Fabio Cuzzolin

This work discusses how to derive upper bounds for the expected generalisation error of supervised learning algorithms by means of the chaining technique. By developing a general theoretical framework, we establish a duality between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-01 Eugenio Clerico , Amitis Shidani , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We develop a nonparametric extension of the sequential generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test and corresponding time-uniform confidence sequences for the mean of a univariate distribution. By utilizing a geometric interpretation of the GLR…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Jaehyeok Shin , Aaditya Ramdas , Alessandro Rinaldo

We present a method for computing optimal fixed-width confidence intervals for a single, bounded parameter, extending a method for the binomial due to Asparaouhov and Lorden, who called it the Push algorithm. The method produces the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Jay Bartroff , Asmit Chakraborty

Modal regression, a widely used regression protocol, has been extensively investigated in statistical and machine learning communities due to its robustness to outliers and heavy-tailed noises. Understanding modal regression's theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Tielang Gong , Yuxin Dong , Hong Chen , Bo Dong , Wei Feng , Chen Li

This paper develops an optimal Chernoff type bound for the probabilities of large deviations of sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$ where $f$ is a real-valued function and $(X_k)_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}}$ is a finite state Markov chain with an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Vrettos Moulos , Venkat Anantharam

We prove a Chernoff-like large deviation bound on the sum of non-independent random variables that have the following dependence structure. The variables $Y_1,...,Y_r$ are arbitrary Boolean functions of independent random variables…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Dmytro Gavinsky , Shachar Lovett , Michael Saks , Srikanth Srinivasan

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

The asymptotic efficiency of a generalized likelihood ratio test proposed by Cox is studied under the large deviations framework for error probabilities developed by Chernoff. In particular, two separate parametric families of hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

We consider the problem of discriminating two different quantum states in the setting of asymptotically many copies, and determine the optimal strategy that minimizes the total probability of error. This leads to the identification of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. M. R. Audenaert , J. Calsamiglia , Ll. Masanes , R. Munoz-Tapia , A. Acin , E. Bagan , F. Verstraete
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