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Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

Long-tailed datasets, where head classes comprise much more training samples than tail classes, cause recognition models to get biased towards the head classes. Weighted loss is one of the most popular ways of mitigating this issue, and a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-08 Saptarshi Sinha , Hiroki Ohashi

A neural network-based chart pattern represents adaptive parametric features, including non-linear transformations, and a template that can be applied in the feature space. The search of neural network-based chart patterns has been…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-19 Myoung Hoon Ha , Byung-Ro Moon

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Time series data in real-world scenarios contain a substantial amount of nonlinear information, which significantly interferes with the training process of models, leading to decreased prediction performance. Therefore, during the time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Dandan Zhang , Zhiqiang Zhang , Nanguang Chen , Yun Wang

Deep neural networks are powerful tools for solving nonlinear problems in science and engineering, but training highly accurate models becomes challenging as problem complexity increases. Non-convex optimization and sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Ethan Mulle , Wei Kang , Qi Gong

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

Deep learning models have recently achieved significant performance improvements in time series forecasting. We present a highly accurate and simply structured CNN-based model with only one convolutional layer, called WinNet, including (i)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Wenjie Ou , Zhishuo Zhao , Dongyue Guo , Zheng Zhang , Yi Lin

Several techniques have been proposed to address the problem of recognizing activities of daily living from signals. Deep learning techniques applied to inertial signals have proven to be effective, achieving significant classification…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-21 Hamza Amrani , Daniela Micucci , Marco Mobilio , Paolo Napoletano

Network embedding aims to learn low-dimensional representations of nodes while capturing structure information of networks. It has achieved great success on many tasks of network analysis such as link prediction and node classification.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Hansheng Xue , Luwei Yang , Wen Jiang , Yi Wei , Yi Hu , Yu Lin

In this work, we aim to predict human eye fixation with view-free scenes based on an end-to-end deep learning architecture. Although Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have made substantial improvement on human attention prediction, it is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-26 Wenguan Wang , Jianbing Shen

The importance of considering related stocks data for the prediction of stock price movement has been shown in many studies, however, advanced graphical techniques for modeling, embedding and analyzing the behavior of interrelated stocks…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-01 Alireza Jafari , Saman Haratizadeh

Recently, deep learning has represented an important research trend in human activity recognition (HAR). In particular, deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance on various HAR datasets. For deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Xin Cheng , Lei Zhang , Yin Tang , Yue Liu , Hao Wu , Jun He

Accurate long-range prediction of geophysical systems is difficult due to strongly nonlinear dynamics, the high computational cost of full-physics simulations, and the error accumulation that arise when one-step autoregressive surrogates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Zesheng Liu , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

This paper introduces an innovative realized volatility (RV) forecasting framework that extends the conventional Heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model via integrating Graph Signal Processing (GSP). The study first evaluates various…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Zhengyang Chi , Junbin Gao , Chao Wang

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

Enforcing constraint satisfaction in neural network outputs is critical for safety, reliability, and physical fidelity in many control and decision-making applications. While soft-constrained methods penalize constraint violations during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Andrea Goertzen , Kaveh Alim , Youngjae Min , Navid Azizan

Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

The heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is revised by modeling the joint distribution of the four partial-volatility terms therein involved. Namely, today's, yesterday's, last week's and last month's volatility components. The joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-22 Martin Magris

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved great success in the area of computer vision. The disparity estimation problem tends to be addressed by DNNs which achieve much better prediction accuracy in stereo matching than traditional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-25 Qiang Wang , Shaohuai Shi , Shizhen Zheng , Kaiyong Zhao , Xiaowen Chu