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This study proposes a real-time control framework for cascaded hydropower systems that incorporates decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU) to capture the coupling of streamflow uncertainties across the reservoirs. The framework jointly models…
Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…
We demonstrate a data-driven technique for adaptive control in dynamical systems that exploits the reservoir computing method. We show that a reservoir computer can be trained to predict a system parameter from the time series data.…
Energy consumption represents a significant cost in data center operation. A large fraction of the energy, however, is used to power idle servers when the workload is low. Dynamic provisioning techniques aim at saving this portion of the…
The optimal operation of water reservoir systems is a challenging task involving multiple conflicting objectives. The main source of complexity is the presence of the water inflow, which acts as an exogenous, highly uncertain disturbance on…
Demand response (DR) is a cost-effective and environmentally friendly approach for mitigating the uncertainties in renewable energy integration by taking advantage of the flexibility of customers' demands. However, existing DR programs…
Dual control explicitly addresses the problem of trading off active exploration and exploitation in the optimal control of partially unknown systems. While the problem can be cast in the framework of stochastic dynamic programming, exact…
Time delays increase the effective dimensionality of reservoirs, thus suggesting that time delays in reservoirs can enhance their performance, particularly their memory and prediction abilities. We find new closed-form expressions for…
In this paper we give a profound insight into the computation capability of delay-based reservoir computing via an eigenvalue analysis. We concentrate on the task-independent memory capacity to quantify the reservoir performance and compare…
In this paper the problem of optimal performance of a power system is considered. The problem is posed in various aspects within the frames of the theory of optimal control of stores. Mathematical models are presented by means of the…
Reservoir computing is a novel machine learning algorithm that uses a nonlinear dynamical system to efficiently learn complex temporal patterns from data. The objective of this thesis is to investigate the principles of reservoir computing…
Pumped storage hydro units (PSHU) are great sources of flexibility in power systems. This is especially valuable in modern systems with increasing shares of intermittent renewable resources. However, the flexibility from PSHUs, particularly…
We study risk-aware linear policy approximations for the optimal operation of an energy system with stochastic wind power, storage, and limited fuel. The resulting problem is a sequential decision-making problem with rolling forecasts. In…
This paper focuses on price-based residential demand response implemented through dynamic adjustments of electricity prices during DR events. It extends existing DR models to a stochastic framework in which customer response is represented…
Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However,…
This paper provides a systematic comparison between Fitted Dynamic Programming (DP), where demand is estimated from data, and Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods in finite-horizon dynamic pricing problems. We analyze their performance…
The most common approaches for solving stochastic resource allocation problems in the research literature is to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the impact of a…
The co-optimization of behind-the-meter distributed energy resources is considered for prosumers under the net energy metering tariff. The distributed energy resources considered include renewable generations, flexible demands, and battery…
Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a structure called a reservoir, which has nonlinearities and short-term memory. In recent years, reservoir computing has expanded to new functions such as the autonomous…
Safe and economic operation of networked systems is often challenging. Optimization-based schemes are frequently considered, since they achieve near-optimality while ensuring safety via the explicit consideration of constraints. In…