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Reliable uncertainty quantification in trajectory prediction is crucial for safety-critical autonomous driving systems, yet existing deep learning predictors lack uncertainty-aware frameworks adaptable to heterogeneous real-world scenarios.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Yiming Shu , Jiahui Xu , Linghuan Kong , Fangni Zhang , Guodong Yin , Chen Sun

Recent advances in autonomous driving are moving towards mapless approaches, where High-Definition (HD) maps are generated online directly from sensor data, reducing the need for expensive labeling and maintenance. However, the reliability…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zongzheng Zhang , Xuchong Qiu , Boran Zhang , Guantian Zheng , Xunjiang Gu , Guoxuan Chi , Huan-ang Gao , Leichen Wang , Ziming Liu , Xinrun Li , Igor Gilitschenski , Hongyang Li , Hang Zhao , Hao Zhao

Representing diverse and plausible future trajectories is critical for motion forecasting in autonomous driving. However, efficiently capturing these trajectories in a compact set remains challenging. This study introduces a novel approach…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Abhishek Vivekanandan , J. Marius Zöllner

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

Due to the advent of new mobile devices and tracking sensors in recent years, huge amounts of data are being produced every day. Therefore, novel methodologies need to emerge that dive through this vast sea of information and generate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Ioannis Kontopoulos , Antonios Makris , Konstantinos Tserpes , Vania Bogorny

The abilities to understand the social interaction behaviors between a vehicle and its surroundings while predicting its trajectory in an urban environment are critical for road safety in autonomous driving. Social interactions are hard to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Amina Ghoul , Itheri Yahiaoui , Anne Verroust-Blondet , Fawzi Nashashibi

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Trajectory prediction in traffic scenes involves accurately forecasting the behaviour of surrounding vehicles. To achieve this objective it is crucial to consider contextual information, including the driving path of vehicles, road…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Leon Mlodzian , Zhigang Sun , Hendrik Berkemeyer , Sebastian Monka , Zixu Wang , Stefan Dietze , Lavdim Halilaj , Juergen Luettin

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

Traffic prediction is a crucial topic because of its broad scope of applications in the transportation domain. Recently, various studies have achieved promising results. However, most studies assume the prediction locations have complete or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hao Mei , Junxian Li , Zhiming Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Bin Shi , Hua Wei

This work explores the application of ensemble modeling to the multidimensional regression problem of trajectory prediction for vehicles in urban environments. As newer and bigger state-of-the-art prediction models for autonomous driving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Divya Thuremella , Yi Yang , Simon Wanna , Lars Kunze , Daniele De Martini

Predicting pedestrian motion trajectories is crucial for path planning and motion control of autonomous vehicles. Accurately forecasting crowd trajectories is challenging due to the uncertain nature of human motions in different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yu Liu , Yuexin Zhang , Kunming Li , Yongliang Qiao , Stewart Worrall , You-Fu Li , He Kong

Trajectory prediction is an essential step in the pipeline of an autonomous vehicle. Inaccurate or inconsistent predictions regarding the movement of agents in its surroundings lead to poorly planned maneuvers and potentially dangerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Caio Azevedo , Lina Achaji , Stefano Sabatini , Nicola Poerio , Grzegorz Bartyzel , Sascha Hornauer , Fabien Moutarde

We present CoverNet, a new method for multimodal, probabilistic trajectory prediction for urban driving. Previous work has employed a variety of methods, including multimodal regression, occupancy maps, and 1-step stochastic policies. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Tung Phan-Minh , Elena Corina Grigore , Freddy A. Boulton , Oscar Beijbom , Eric M. Wolff

This paper studies the problem of predicting the distribution over multiple possible future paths of people as they move through various visual scenes. We make two main contributions. The first contribution is a new dataset, created in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Junwei Liang , Lu Jiang , Kevin Murphy , Ting Yu , Alexander Hauptmann

Pedestrian crossing prediction has been a topic of active research, resulting in many new algorithmic solutions. While measuring the overall progress of those solutions over time tends to be more and more established due to the new publicly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Joseph Gesnouin , Steve Pechberti , Bogdan Stanciulescu , Fabien Moutarde

Predicting human trajectories is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles, yet current data-driven models often lack robustness in case of noisy inputs such as adversarial examples or imperfect observations. Although some…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Mohammadhossein Bahari , Saeed Saadatnejad , Amirhossein Askari Farsangi , Seyed-Mohsen Moosavi-Dezfooli , Alexandre Alahi

Most machine learning models operate under the assumption that the training, testing and deployment data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). This assumption doesn't generally hold true in a natural setting. Usually, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Kumud Lakara , Akshat Bhandari , Pratinav Seth , Ujjwal Verma