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A practical approach to evaluate performance of a Gaussian process regression models (GPR) for irregularly sampled sparse time-series is introduced. The approach entails construction of a secondary autoregressive model using the fine scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-10 Mehmet Süzen , Abed Ajraou

Despite recent advances in the precision of high-resolution spectrographs, the detection of Earth-like exoplanets is still limited by the effects of stellar activity, which introduce radial velocity variations at the metre-per-second level…

The HARPS/HARPS-N Data Reduction Software (DRS) relies on the cross-correlation between the observed spectra and a suitable stellar mask to compute a cross-correlation function (CCF) to be used both for the radial velocity (RV) computation…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Monica Rainer , Francesco Borsa , Laura Affer

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

The leading spectrographs used for exoplanets' sceince offer online data reduction softwares (DRS) that yield as an ancillary result the full-width at half-maximum (FWHM) of the cross-correlation function (CCF) that is used to estimate the…

Stellar radial velocity (RV) measurements have proven to be a very successful method for detecting extrasolar planets. Analysing RV data to determine the parameters of the extrasolar planets is a significant statistical challenge owing to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-08-25 F. Feroz , S. T. Balan , M. P. Hobson

Context. Searching for extrasolar planets through radial velocity measurements relies on the stability of stellar photospheres. Aims. We aim at characterizing the statistical properties of magnetic activity cycles, and studying their impact…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-07-28 C. Lovis , X. Dumusque , N. C. Santos , F. Bouchy , M. Mayor , F. Pepe , D. Queloz , D. Ségransan , S. Udry

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

Inferring the number of planets $N$ in an exoplanetary system from radial velocity (RV) data is a challenging task. Recently, it has become clear that RV data can contain periodic signals due to stellar activity, which can be difficult to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Brendon J. Brewer , Courtney P. Donovan

Gaussian process ($GP$) regression is a widely used non-parametric modeling tool, but its cubic complexity in the training size limits its use on massive data sets. A practical remedy is to predict using only the nearest neighbours of each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Robert Allison , Tomasz Maciazek , Anthony Stephenson

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Stellar activity induced by active structures (eg, spots, faculae) is known to strongly impact the radial velocity time series. It then limits the detection of small planetary RV signals (eg, an Earth-mass planet in the habitable zone of a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-23 Simon Borgniet , Nadège Meunier , Anne-Marie Lagrange

Radial velocity perturbations induced by stellar surface inhomogeneities including spots, plages and granules currently limit the detection of Earth-twins using Doppler spectroscopy. Such stellar noise is poorly understood for stars other…

Detecting planetary signatures in radial velocity time-series of young stars is challenging due to their inherently strong stellar activity. However, it is possible to learn information about the properties of the stellar signal by using…

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a convenient framework for specifying function-space priors, making them a natural choice for modeling uncertainty. In contrast, Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer greater scalability and extendability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Marcin Sendera , Amin Sorkhei , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk

The detailed modelling of stellar oscillations is a powerful approach to characterising stars. However, poor treatment of systematics in theoretical models leads to misinterpretations of stars. Here we propose a more principled statistical…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-06 Tanda Li , Guy R. Davies , Martin Nielsen , Margarida S. Cunha , Alexander J. Lyttle

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

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