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Though the underlying fields associated with vector-valued environmental data are continuous, observations themselves are discrete. For example, climate models typically output grid-based representations of wind fields or ocean currents,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Michael Gillan , Stefan Siegert , Ben Youngman

This work addresses the problem of simulating Gaussian random fields that are continuously indexed over a class of metric graphs, termed graphs with Euclidean edges, being more general and flexible than linear networks. We introduce three…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Alfredo Alegría , Xavier Emery , Tobia Filosi , Emilio Porcu

Gaussian random fields are popular models for spatially varying uncertainties, arising for instance in geotechnical engineering, hydrology or image processing. A Gaussian random field is fully characterised by its mean function and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Jonas Latz , Marvin Eisenberger , Elisabeth Ullmann

Gaussian graphical models represent the backbone of the statistical toolbox for analyzing continuous multivariate systems. However, due to the intrinsic properties of the multivariate normal distribution, use of this model family may hide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

The integration of physical relationships into stochastic models is of major interest e.g. in data assimilation. Here, a multivariate Gaussian random field formulation is introduced, which represents the differential relations of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-14 Rüdiger Hewer , Petra Friederichs , Andreas Hense , Martin Schlather

Covariance operators are fundamental in functional data analysis, providing the canonical means to analyse functional variation via the celebrated Karhunen--Lo\`eve expansion. These operators may themselves be subject to variation, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-17 Valentina Masarotto , Victor M. Panaretos , Yoav Zemel

Gaussian processes are an effective model class for learning unknown functions, particularly in settings where accurately representing predictive uncertainty is of key importance. Motivated by applications in the physical sciences, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-19 Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Peter Mostowsky , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We study pathwise invariances of centred random fields that can be controlled through the covariance. A result involving composition operators is obtained in second-order settings, and we show that various path properties including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant , Nicolas Durrande

In nonparametric regression, it is common for the inputs to fall in a restricted subset of Euclidean space. Typical kernel-based methods that do not take into account the intrinsic geometry of the domain across which observations are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-04 David B Dunson , Hau-Tieng Wu , Nan Wu

We derive an explicit link between Gaussian Markov random fields on metric graphs and graphical models, and in particular show that a Markov random field restricted to the vertices of the graph is, under mild regularity conditions, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

Gaussian processes are machine learning models capable of learning unknown functions in a way that represents uncertainty, thereby facilitating construction of optimal decision-making systems. Motivated by a desire to deploy Gaussian…

In Gaussian graphical models, conditional independence and partial correlations are natural inferential targets for understanding direct relationships in multivariate data. No comparable framework exists for spatial processes, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Michele Peruzzi

In this paper we use Gaussian processes (kernel methods) to learn mappings between trajectories of distinct differential equations. Our goal is to simplify both the representation and the solution of these equations. We begin by examining…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Jonghyeon Lee , Boumediene Hamzi , Yannis Kevrekidis , Houman Owhadi

Modelling spatio-temporal processes has become an important issue in current research. Since Gaussian processes are essentially determined by their second order structure, broad classes of covariance functions are of interest. Here, a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Martin Schlather

We propose principled Gaussian processes (GPs) for modeling functions defined over the edge set of a simplicial 2-complex, a structure similar to a graph in which edges may form triangular faces. This approach is intended for learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Maosheng Yang , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Elvin Isufi

To target challenges in differentiable optimization we analyze and propose strategies for derivatives of the Mat\'ern kernel with respect to the smoothness parameter. This problem is of high interest in Gaussian processes modelling due to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Oana Marin , Christopher Geoga , Michel Schanen

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

Geophysical and other natural processes often exhibit non-stationary covariances and this feature is important to take into account for statistical models that attempt to emulate the physical process. A convolution-based model is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-23 Douglas Nychka , Dorit Hammerling , Mitchell Krock , Ashton Wiens

In recent years, there has been considerable interest in developing machine learning models on graphs to account for topological inductive biases. In particular, recent attention has been given to Gaussian processes on such structures since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Mathieu Alain , So Takao , Brooks Paige , Marc Peter Deisenroth

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith