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We consider renewal stochastic processes generated by non-independent events from the perspective that their basic distribution and associated generating functions obey the statistical-mechanical structure of systems with interacting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Jorge Velázquez , Alberto Robledo

In continuum one-dimensional space, a coupled directed continuous time random walk model is proposed, where the random walker jumps toward one direction and the waiting time between jumps affects the subsequent jump. In the proposed model,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-20 Long Shi , Zuguo Yu , Zhi Mao , Aiguo Xiao

We investigate the work fluctuations in an overdamped non-equilibrium process that is stopped at a stochastic time. The latter is characterized by a first passage event that marks the completion of the non-equilibrium process. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-20 Iago N Mamede , Prashant Singh , Arnab Pal , Carlos E. Fiore , Karel Proesmans

Consider a one-dimensional exclusion process with finite-range translation-invariant jump rates with non-zero drift. Let the process be stationary with product Bernoulli invariant distribution at density \rho. Place a second class particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Timo Seppalainen , Sunder Sethuraman

A general theory is derived for the moments of the first passage time of a one-dimensional Markov process in presence of a weak time-dependent forcing. The linear corrections to the moments can be expressed by quadratures of the potential…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Benjamin Lindner

Time series prediction is often complicated by distribution shift which demands adaptive models to accommodate time-varying distributions. We frame time series prediction under distribution shift as a weighted empirical risk minimisation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Stefanos Bennett , Jase Clarkson

We study the rare event behavior of the workload process in a transitory queue, where the arrival epochs (or points) of a finite number of jobs are assumed to be the ordered statistics of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Harsha Honnappa

The interplay between bifurcations and random switching processes of vector fields is studied. More precisely, we provide a classification of piecewise deterministic Markov processes arising from stochastic switching dynamics near fold,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Tobias Hurth , Christian Kuehn

The ensemble properties and time-averaged observables of a memory-induced diffusive-superdiffusive transition are studied. The model consists in a random walker whose transitions in a given direction depend on a weighted linear combination…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-11 Adrian A. Budini

In this paper, we identify Laplace transforms of occupation times of intervals until first passage times for spectrally negative L\'evy processes. New analytical identities for scale functions are derived and therefore the results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Ronnie L. Loeffen , Jean-François Renaud , Xiaowen Zhou

Consider the set of functions $f_{\theta}(x)=|\theta -x|$ on $\mathbb{R}$. Define a Markov process that starts with a point $x_0 \in \mathbb{R}$ and continues with $x_{k+1}=f_{\theta_{k+1}}(x_{k})$ with each $\theta _{k+1}$ picked from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Aaron Abrams , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim , Eric Zaslow

This paper gives an elementary proof for the following theorem: a renewal process can be represented by a doubly-stochastic Poisson process (DSPP) if and only if the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the inter-arrival times is of the following…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-30 Xinlong Du , Harsha Honnappa

This work focuses on recurrence and ergodicity of switching diffusions consisting of continuous and discrete components, in which the discrete component takes values in a countably infinite set and the rates of switching at current time…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

The transition law of every exchangeable Feller process on the space of countable graphs is determined by a $\sigma$-finite measure on the space of $\{0,1\}\times\{0,1\}$-valued arrays. In discrete-time, this characterization amounts to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Harry Crane

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

We prove regenerative properties for the linear Hawkes process under minimal assumptions on the transfer function, which may have unbounded support. These results are applicable to sliding window statistical estimators. We exploit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Carl Graham

The properties of the square bias transformation are studied, in particular, the precise moment-type estimate for the $L_1$-metric between the transformed and the original distributions is proved, a relation between their characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-16 Irina Shevtsova

Let be $X(t)= x - \mu t + \sigma B_t - N_t$ a L$\acute{\text{e}}$vy process starting from $x >0,$ where $ \mu \ge 0, \ \sigma \ge 0, \ B_t$ is a standard BM, and $N_t$ is a homogeneous Poisson process with intensity $ \theta >0,$ starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Mario Abundo , Sara Furia

Consider a simple random walk on the integers with the following transition mechanism. At each site $x$, the probability of jumping to the right is $\omega(x)\in[\frac12,1)$, until the first time the process jumps to the left from site $x$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Ross Pinsky

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus