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Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ivan Letteri

In recent years, a wide range of investment models have been created using artificial intelligence. Automatic trading by artificial intelligence can expand the range of trading methods, such as by conferring the ability to operate 24 hours…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-17 Koya Ishikawa , Kazuhide Nakata

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Chun-Chieh Wang

We reinterpret and propose a framework for pricing path-dependent financial derivatives by estimating the full distribution of payoffs using Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DistRL). Unlike traditional methods that focus on expected…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-18 Ahmet Umur Özsoy

Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

We study neural networks as nonparametric estimation tools for the hedging of options. To this end, we design a network, named HedgeNet, that directly outputs a hedging strategy. This network is trained to minimise the hedging error instead…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Johannes Ruf , Weiguan Wang

In the field of financial derivatives trading, managing volatility risk is crucial for protecting investment portfolios from market changes. Traditional Vega hedging strategies, which often rely on basic and rule-based models, are hard to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Lei Zhao , Lin Cai , Wu-Sheng Lu

This paper analyzes a problem of optimal static hedging using derivatives in incomplete markets. The investor is assumed to have a risk exposure to two underlying assets. The hedging instruments are vanilla options written on a single…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig , Yoshihiro Shirai

Within a financial model with linear price impact, we study the problem of hedging a covered European option under gamma constraint. Using stochastic target and partial differential equation smoothing techniques, we prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 B Bouchard , G Loeper , Y Zou

Stock portfolio optimization is the process of continuous reallocation of funds to a selection of stocks. This is a particularly well-suited problem for reinforcement learning, as daily rewards are compounding and objective functions may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 Charl Maree , Christian W. Omlin

Portfolio management is a fundamental problem in finance. It involves periodic reallocations of assets to maximize the expected returns within an appropriate level of risk exposure. Deep reinforcement learning (RL) has been considered a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-05 Hui Niu , Siyuan Li , Jian Li

With the improvement of computer performance and the development of GPU-accelerated technology, trading with machine learning algorithms has attracted the attention of many researchers and practitioners. In this research, we propose a novel…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Huanming Zhang , Zhengyong Jiang , Jionglong Su

Algorithmic trading, due to its inherent nature, is a difficult problem to tackle; there are too many variables involved in the real world which make it almost impossible to have reliable algorithms for automated stock trading. The lack of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Abhishek Nan , Anandh Perumal , Osmar R. Zaiane

We consider the performance of non-optimal hedging strategies in exponential L\'evy models. Given that both the payoff of the contingent claim and the hedging strategy admit suitable integral representations, we use the Laplace transform…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-18 Stephan Denkl , Martina Goy , Jan Kallsen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Arnd Pauwels

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

We study the pricing and hedging of derivative securities with uncertainty about the volatility of the underlying asset. Rather than taking all models from a prespecified class equally seriously, we penalise less plausible ones based on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-23 Sebastian Herrmann , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Frank Thomas Seifried

This paper addresses the trade-off between internalisation and externalisation in the management of stochastic trade flows. We consider agents who must absorb flows and manage risk by deciding whether to warehouse it or hedge in the market,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant , Hamza Bodor

Deep hedging represents a cutting-edge approach to risk management for financial derivatives by leveraging the power of deep learning. However, existing methods often face challenges related to computational inefficiency, sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Lei Zhao , Lin Cai

Hedging a portfolio containing autocallable notes presents unique challenges due to the complex risk profile of these financial instruments. In addition to hedging, pricing these notes, particularly when multiple underlying assets are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Anil Sharma , Freeman Chen , Jaesun Noh , Julio DeJesus , Mario Schlener