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In this work, we present a novel application of an uncertainty-quantification framework called Deep Evidential Learning in the domain of radiotherapy dose prediction. Using medical images of the Open Knowledge-Based Planning Challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Hai Siong Tan , Kuancheng Wang , Rafe Mcbeth

System identification (SysID) is critical for modeling dynamical systems from experimental data, yet traditional approaches often fail to capture nonlinear behaviors. While deep learning offers powerful tools for modeling such dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Mehmet Ali Ferah , Tufan Kumbasar

This contribution addresses vessel trajectory prediction (VTP), focusing on the evaluation of different deep learning-based approaches. The objective is to assess model performance in diverse traffic complexities and compare the reliability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Zahra Rastin , Kathrin Donandt , Dirk Söffker

In this paper, we consider high-dimensional stationary processes where a new observation is generated from a compressed version of past observations. The specific evolution is modeled by an encoder-decoder structure. We estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

Spacecraft operations are highly critical, demanding impeccable reliability and safety. Ensuring the optimal performance of a spacecraft requires the early detection and mitigation of anomalies, which could otherwise result in unit or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Daniel Lakey , Tim Schlippe

Trajectory forecasting plays a pivotal role in the field of intelligent vehicles or social robots. Recent works focus on modeling spatial social impacts or temporal motion attentions, but neglect inherent properties of motions, i.e. moving…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Qifan Xue , Shengyi Li , Xuanpeng Li , Jingwen Zhao , Weigong Zhang

Vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for enabling safety-critical intelligent transportation systems (ITS) applications used in management and operations. While there have been some promising advances in the field, there is a need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Vinit Katariya , Mohammadreza Baharani , Nichole Morris , Omidreza Shoghli , Hamed Tabkhi

Predicting business process behaviour is an important aspect of business process management. Motivated by research in natural language processing, this paper describes an application of deep learning with recurrent neural networks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-05 Joerg Evermann , Jana-Rebecca Rehse , Peter Fettke

The parameters estimation of a system using indirect measurements over the same system is a problem that occurs in many fields of engineering, known as the inverse problem. It also happens in the field of underwater acoustic, especially in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Marco Apolinario , Samuel Huaman Bustamante , Giorgio Morales , Joel Telles , Daniel Diaz

Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Vessel trajectory prediction is fundamental to intelligent maritime systems. Within this domain, short-term prediction of rapid behavioral changes in complex maritime environments has established multimodal trajectory prediction (MTP) as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Rui Zhang , Chao Li , Kezhong Liu , Chen Wang , Bolong Zheng , Hongbo Jiang

In this paper, we model the trajectory of sea vessels and provide a service that predicts in near-real time the position of any given vessel in 4', 10', 20' and 40' time intervals. We explore the necessary tradeoffs between accuracy,…

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

We are interested in the development of surrogate models for uncertainty quantification and propagation in problems governed by stochastic PDEs using a deep convolutional encoder-decoder network in a similar fashion to approaches considered…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Yinhao Zhu , Nicholas Zabaras

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay

The future success of the Navy will depend, in part, on artificial intelligence. In practice, many artificially intelligent algorithms, and in particular deep learning models, rely on continual learning to maintain performance in dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Ari Goodman , Ryan O'Shea , Noam Hirschorn , Hubert Chrostowski

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Accurate traffic flow prediction, a hotspot for intelligent transportation research, is the prerequisite for mastering traffic and making travel plans. The speed of traffic flow can be affected by roads condition, weather, holidays, etc.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Jianlei Kong , Xiaomeng Fan , Xue-Bo Jin , Min Zuo