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Data-driven methods open up unprecedented possibilities for maritime surveillance using Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. In this work, we explore deep learning strategies using historical AIS observations to address the problem…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Samuele Capobianco , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Nicola Forti , Paolo Braca , Peter Willett

Accurate vessel trajectory prediction is necessary for save and efficient navigation. Deep learning-based prediction models, esp. encoder-decoders, are rarely applied to inland navigation specifically. Approaches from the maritime domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Kathrin Donandt , Karim Böttger , Dirk Söffker

A methodology based on deep recurrent models for maritime surveillance, over publicly available Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, is presented in this paper. The setup employs a deep Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)-based model, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Constantine Maganaris , Eftychios Protopapadakis , Nikolaos Doulamis

The prediction capability of recurrent-type neural networks is investigated for real-time short-term prediction (nowcasting) of ship motions in high sea state. Specifically, the performance of recurrent neural networks, long-short term…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-28 Danny D'Agostino , Andrea Serani , Frederick Stern , Matteo Diez

Understanding and representing traffic patterns are key to detecting anomalous trajectories in the transportation domain. However, some trajectories can exhibit heterogeneous maneuvering characteristics despite confining to normal patterns.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Sandeep Kumar Singh , Jaya Shradha Fowdur , Jakob Gawlikowski , Daniel Medina

Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Sergey Prokudin , Bernhard Scholkopf , Jan Peters

Recurrent neural networks are capable of learning the dynamics of an unknown nonlinear system purely from input-output measurements. However, the resulting models do not provide any stability guarantees on the input-output mapping. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Daniel Frank , Decky Aspandi Latif , Michael Muehlebach , Benjamin Unger , Steffen Staab

One of the fundamental challenges in the prediction of dynamic agents is robustness. Usually, most predictions are deterministic estimates of future states which are over-confident and prone to error. Recently, few works have addressed…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph , Prasenjit Ghorai

In real-world application scenarios, it is crucial for marine navigators and security analysts to predict vessel movement trajectories at sea based on the Automated Identification System (AIS) data in a given time span. This article…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Chih-Wei Chen , Charles Harrison , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Physics-related and model-based vessel trajectory prediction is highly accurate but requires specific knowledge of the vessel under consideration which is not always practical. Machine learning-based trajectory prediction models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Kathrin Donandt , Karim Böttger , Dirk Söffker

In this paper, we propose a deep learning based vehicle trajectory prediction technique which can generate the future trajectory sequence of surrounding vehicles in real time. We employ the encoder-decoder architecture which analyzes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Seong Hyeon Park , ByeongDo Kim , Chang Mook Kang , Chung Choo Chung , Jun Won Choi

In a world of global trading, maritime safety, security and efficiency are crucial issues. We propose a multi-task deep learning framework for vessel monitoring using Automatic Identification System (AIS) data streams. We combine recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-24 Duong Nguyen , Rodolphe Vadaine , Guillaume Hajduch , René Garello , Ronan Fablet

Uncertainty quantification methods are required in autonomous systems that include deep learning (DL) components to assess the confidence of their estimations. However, to successfully deploy DL components in safety-critical autonomous…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Fabio Arnez , Huascar Espinoza , Ansgar Radermacher , François Terrier

Learning-based control aims to construct models of a system to use for planning or trajectory optimization, e.g. in model-based reinforcement learning. In order to obtain guarantees of safety in this context, uncertainty must be accurately…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-08 David D. Fan , Ali-akbar Agha-mohammadi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Ships, or vessels, often sail in and out of cluttered environments over the course of their trajectories. Safe navigation in such cluttered scenarios requires an accurate estimation of the intent of neighboring vessels and their effect on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-20 Jasmine Sekhon , Cody Fleming

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Accurate predictions of ship trajectories in crowded environments are essential to ensure safety in inland waterways traffic. Recent advances in deep learning promise increased accuracy even for complex scenarios. While the challenge of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Tom Legel , Dirk Söffker , Roland Schätzle , Kathrin Donandt

The oceans are a source of an impressive mixture of complex data that could be used to uncover relationships yet to be discovered. Such data comes from the oceans and their surface, such as Automatic Identification System (AIS) messages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Gabriel Spadon , Martha D. Ferreira , Amilcar Soares , Stan Matwin
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