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This paper presents a spatial clustering method to create regions with similar time-varying energy characteristics. This method combines empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) for dimensionality reduction and max-p regionalization for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-24 Claire Halloran , Malcolm McCulloch

Fossil gas is sometimes presented as an enabler of variable solar and wind generation beyond 2050, despite being a primary source of greenhouse gas emissions from methane leakage and combustion. We find that balancing solar and wind…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Timothy Weber , Cheng Cheng , Harry Thawley , Kylie Catchpole , Andrew Blakers , Bin Lu , Jennifer Zhao , Anna Nadolny

Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

The growth in variable renewables such as solar and wind is increasing the impact of climate uncertainty in energy system planning. Addressing this ideally requires high-resolution time series spanning at least a few decades. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-18 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

In a power system, unlike some critical and standalone assets that are equipped with condition monitoring devices, the conditions of most regular in-group assets are acquired through periodic inspection work. Due to their large quantities,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Ming Dong , Alexandre B. Nassif , Wenyuan Li

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Future electricity distribution grids will host a considerable share of the renewable energy sources needed for enforcing the energy transition. Demand side management mechanisms play a key role in the integration of such renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-16 José Horta , Eitan Altman , Mathieu Caujolle , Daniel Kofman , David Menga

We propose a new forecasting method for predicting load demand and generation scheduling. Accurate week-long forecasting of load demand and optimal power generation is critical for efficient operation of power grid systems. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Tong Ma , Renke Huang , David Barajas-Solano , Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Renewable energy productions and electrification of mobility are promising solutions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Their effective integration in a power grid encounters several challenges. The uncertain nature of renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-11 Manijeh Alipour , Omid Alizadeh-Mousavi

Renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, are increasingly being integrated into smart grid systems. However, when compared to traditional energy resources, the unpredictability of renewable energy generation poses significant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-01 Arman Ghasemi , Amin Shojaeighadikolaei , Morteza Hashemi

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of ensemble of scenarios are required for complex decision making processes. Ensemble forecasting systems provide such products but the spatio-temporal structures of the forecast uncertainty is lost when…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Zied Ben Bouallegue , Tobias Heppelmann , Susanne E. Theis , Pierre Pinson

The rapid growth of renewable energy penetration has intensified the need for reliable probabilistic forecasts to support grid operations at aggregated (fleet or system) levels. In practice, however, system operators often lack access to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In this paper, we consider the expansion of power grids under emerging large loads from data centers and electrified manufacturing. We develop a multi-period grid capacity expansion model to determine optimal investment profiles for power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-29 Jiyong Lee , Melody Agustin , Joanne Langsdorf , Erhan Kutanolgu , Michael Baldea , Ilias Mitrai

To cater the rapidly growing demand for electricity leading to the integration of renewable energy sources in power system. Due to intermittent nature of renewables, it also brings challenges for research community during the planning and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-14 Rustam Kumar

Since the 1990s, widespread introduction of central (wholesale) electricity markets has been seen across multiple continents, driven by the search for efficient operation of the power grid through competition. The increase of renewables has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Pål Forr Austnes , Matthieu Jacobs , Lu Wang , Mario Paolone

Distribution grid operation faces new challenges caused by a rising share of renewable energy sources and the introduction of additional types of loads to the grid. With the increasing adoption of distributed generation and emerging…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Sebastian Peter , Daniel Feismann , Johannes Bao , Thomas Oberließen , Christian Rehtanz

Microgrids are resources that can be used to restore critical loads after a natural disaster, enhancing resilience of a distribution network. To deal with the stochastic nature of intermittent energy resources, such as wind turbines (WTs)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-25 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Yin Xu , Feng Liu , Xiangyu Wu , Chen-Ching Liu

We investigate group formations and strategic behaviors of renewable power producers in electricity markets. These producers currently bid into the day-ahead market in a conservative fashion because of the real-time risk associated with not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Baosen Zhang , Ramesh Johari , Ram Rajagopal

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh