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Related papers: Neural Optimal Stopping Boundary

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This paper presents the benefits of using randomized neural networks instead of standard basis functions or deep neural networks to approximate the solutions of optimal stopping problems. The key idea is to use neural networks, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Pierre Ruyssen , Josef Teichmann

Determining the optimal depth of a neural network is a fundamental yet challenging problem, typically resolved through resource-intensive experimentation. This paper introduces a formal theoretical framework to address this question by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Qian Qi

In this paper, we investigate dynamic optimization problems featuring both stochastic control and optimal stopping in a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly different from those of mixed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-27 Xiongfei Jian , Xun Li , Fahuai Yi

The maximality principle has been a valuable tool in identifying the free-boundary functions that are associated with the solutions to several optimal stopping problems involving one-dimensional time-homogeneous diffusions and their running…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Mihail Zervos

We present a solution to an optimal stopping problem for a process with a wide-class of novel dynamics. The dynamics model the support/resistance line concept from financial technical analysis.

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-30 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

In this paper we study simulation based optimization algorithms for solving discrete time optimal stopping problems. This type of algorithms became popular among practioneers working in the area of quantitative finance. Using large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-09-22 Denis Belomestny

A general setup for deterministic system identification problems on graphs with Dirichlet and Neumann boundary conditions is introduced. When control nodes are available along the boundary, we apply a discretize-then-optimize method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Mehdi Garrousian , Amirhossein Nouranizadeh

We use probabilistic methods to characterise time dependent optimal stopping boundaries in a problem of multiple optimal stopping on a finite time horizon. Motivated by financial applications we consider a payoff of immediate stopping of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Tiziano De Angelis , Yerkin Kitapbayev

Stop-loss rules are often studied in the financial literature, but the stop-loss levels are seldom constructed systematically. In many papers, and indeed in practice as well, the level of the stops is too often set arbitrarily. Guided by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-06 Antoine Emil Zambelli

We will investigate the value and inactive region of optimal stopping and one-sided singular control problems by focusing on two fundamental ratios. We shall see that these ratios unambiguously characterize the solution, although usually…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Pekka Matomäki

The standard theory of optimal stopping is based on the idealised assumption that the underlying process is essentially known. In this paper, we drop this restriction and study data-driven optimal stopping for a general diffusion process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Sören Christensen , Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. A new potential-based framework for the fixed horizon version of this problem has been recently developed using verification arguments from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

We study a mathematical model motivated by the support/resistance line method in technical analysis where the underlying stock price transitions between three states of nature in a path-dependent manner. For optimal stopping problems with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Vicky Henderson , Saul Jacka , Ruiqi Liu , Jun Maeda

We study the properties of the free boundaries and the corresponding hitting times in the context of optimal stopping in discrete time. We first prove the continuity of the map from the boundaries to the expected value of the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 H. Mete Soner , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

In a classical optimal stopping problem the aim is to maximize the expected value of a functional of a diffusion evaluated at a stopping time. This note considers optimal stopping problems beyond this paradigm. We study problems in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

We develop a theory for solving continuous time optimal stopping problems for non-linear expectations. Our motivation is to consider problems in which the stopper uses risk measures to evaluate future rewards.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Kshama Dwarakanath , Danial Dervovic , Peyman Tavallali , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

In this note we propose a new approach towards solving numerically optimal stopping problems via reinforced regression based Monte Carlo algorithms. The main idea of the method is to reinforce standard linear regression algorithms in each…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny , Bakhyt Zharkynbay

We propose a new method for solving optimal stopping problems (such as American option pricing in finance) under minimal assumptions on the underlying stochastic process $X$. We consider classic and randomized stopping times represented by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Christian Bayer , Paul Hager , Sebastian Riedel , John Schoenmakers

Optimal stopping is the problem of determining when to stop a stochastic system in order to maximize reward, which is of practical importance in domains such as finance, operations management and healthcare. Existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Xinyi Guan , Velibor V. Mišić
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