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Variable-ratio matching is a flexible alternative to conventional $1$-to-$k$ matching for designing observational studies that emulate a target randomized controlled trial (RCT). To achieve fine balance -- that is, matching treated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Qian Meng , Zhe Chen , Bo Zhang

Randomized experiments can provide unbiased estimates of sample average treatment effects. However, estimates of population treatment effects can be biased when the experimental sample and the target population differ. In this case, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Wenqi Shi , Xi Lin

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for comparing the effectiveness of a new treatment to the current one (the control). Most RCTs allocate the patients to the treatment group and the control group by uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-22 Onur Atan , William R. Zame , Mihaela van der Schaar

Heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) are commonly identified during randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Identifying subgroups of patients with similar treatment effects is of high interest in clinical research to advance precision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Peniel N. Argaw , Elizabeth Healey , Isaac S. Kohane

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent a gold standard when developing policy guidelines. However, RCTs are often narrow, and lack data on broader populations of interest. Causal effects in these populations are often estimated using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Michael Oberst , Ming-Chieh Shih , David Sontag

We investigate experimental design for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with both equal and unequal treatment-control assignment probabilities. Our work makes progress on the connection between the distributional discrepancy minimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Anup B. Rao , Peng Zhang

In the online ride-hailing pricing context, companies often conduct randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and utilize uplift models to assess the effect of discounts on customer orders, which substantially influences competitive market…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Kairong Han , Weidong Huang , Taiyang Zhou , Peng Zhen , Kun Kuang

Purpose: The Targeted Learning roadmap provides a systematic guide for generating and evaluating real-world evidence (RWE). From a regulatory perspective, RWE arises from diverse sources such as randomized controlled trials that make use of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-16 Susan Gruber , Rachael V. Phillips , Hana Lee , John Concato , Mark van der Laan

Composite endpoints are frequently used as primary or secondary analyses in cardiovascular clinical trials to increase clinical relevance and statistical efficiency. Alternatively, the Win Ratio (WR) and other Win Statistics (WS) analyses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Yunhan Mou , Scott Hummel , Yuan Huang

Online matching problems arise in many complex systems, from cloud services and online marketplaces to organ exchange networks, where timely, principled decisions are critical for maintaining high system performance. Traditional heuristics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Chiara Mignacco , Matthieu Jonckheere , Gilles Stoltz

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

We propose a prognostic stratum matching framework that addresses the deficiencies of Randomized trial data subgroup analysis and transforms ObservAtional Data to be used as if they were randomized, thus paving the road for precision…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Angelos G. Koulouras , Georgios Antonios Margonis

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are increasingly prevalent in education research, and are often regarded as a gold standard of causal inference. Two main virtues of randomized experiments are that they (1) do not suffer from…

Under current policy decision making paradigm, we make or evaluate a policy decision by intervening different socio-economic parameters and analyzing the impact of those interventions. This process involves identifying the causal relation…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-07 Md Saiful Islam , Md Sarowar Morshed , Gary J. Young , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Understanding how treatment effects vary across patient characteristics is essential for personalized medicine, yet randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs). We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Amir Asiaee , Chiara Di Gravio , Cole Beck , Yuting Mei , Samhita Pal , Jared D. Huling

Accurate prediction of human behavior is essential for robust and safe human-AI collaboration. However, existing approaches for modeling people are often data-hungry and brittle because they either make unrealistic assumptions about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Kunal Jha , Aydan Yuenan Huang , Eric Ye , Natasha Jaques , Max Kleiman-Weiner

Reciprocal recommender system (RRS), considering a two-way matching between two parties, has been widely applied in online platforms like online dating and recruitment. Existing RRS models mainly capture static user preferences, which have…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Bowen Zheng , Yupeng Hou , Wayne Xin Zhao , Yang Song , Hengshu Zhu

We develop estimators that improve precision of heterogeneous treatment effect estimates that allow borrowing information from observational studies when the available covariates in each data source do not perfectly match. Standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Samhita Pal , Jared D. Huling , Amir Asiaee

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating the causal effect of a treatment; however, they often have limited sample sizes and sometimes poor generalizability. On the other hand, non-randomized, observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang , Ting Ye

The effective reproduction number $R_t$ measures an infectious disease's transmissibility as the number of secondary infections in one reproduction time in a population having both susceptible and non-susceptible hosts. Current approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-04 Marcos A. Capistrán , Antonio Capella , J. Andrés Christen