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The Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model is a classic and very popular statistical approach for eliciting a global ranking among a collection of items using pairwise comparison data. In applications in which the comparison outcomes are observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Wanshan Li , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider the asymptotic behaviour of the marginal maximum likelihood empirical Bayes posterior distribution in general setting. First we characterize the set where the maximum marginal likelihood estimator is located with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Judith Rousseau , Botond Szabo

Paired comparison models, such as Bradley-Terry and Thurstone-Mosteller, are commonly used to estimate relative strengths of pairwise compared items in tournament-style data. We discuss estimation of paired comparison models with a ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Cristiano Varin , David Firth

For nonbalanced paired comparisons, a wide variety of ranking methods have been proposed. One of the best popular methods is the Bradley-Terry model in which the ranking of a set of objects is decided by the maximum likelihood estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-07 Ting Yan

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce and study the behavior of minimum {\phi}-divergence estimators as an alternative to the maximum likelihood estimator in latent class models for binary items. As it will become clear below,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 Ángel Felipe , Pedro Miranda , Leandro Pardo

Given a set of pairwise comparisons, the classical ranking problem computes a single ranking that best represents the preferences of all users. In this paper, we study the problem of inferring individual preferences, arising in the context…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-18 Rui Wu , Jiaming Xu , R. Srikant , Laurent Massoulié , Marc Lelarge , Bruce Hajek

Reduced-rank regression is a dimensionality reduction method with many applications. The asymptotic theory for reduced rank estimators of parameter matrices in multivariate linear models has been studied extensively. In contrast, few…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Efstathia Bura , Sabrina Duarte , Liliana Forzani , Ezequiel Smucler , Mariela Sued

Traditional statistical inference on ordinal comparison data results in an overall ranking of objects, e.g., from best to worst, with each object having a unique rank. However, ranks of some objects may not be statistically distinguishable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Michael Pearce , Elena A. Erosheva

We propose a new analysis framework for clustering $M$ items into an unknown number of $K$ distinct groups using noisy and actively collected responses. At each time step, an agent is allowed to query pairs of items and observe bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Rachel S. Y. Teo , P. N. Karthik , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Vincent Y. F. Tan

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

The standard way to evaluate language models on subjective tasks is through pairwise comparisons: an annotator chooses the "better" of two responses to a prompt. Leaderboards aggregate these comparisons into a single Bradley-Terry (BT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Hadi Khalaf , Serena L. Wang , Daniel Halpern , Itai Shapira , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Ariel D. Procaccia

This paper presents a general asymptotic theory of sequential Bayesian estimation giving results for the strongest, almost sure convergence. We show that under certain smoothness conditions on the probability model, the greedy information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Janne V. Kujala

The Mallows-Binomial distribution is the first joint statistical model for rankings and ratings (Pearce and Erosheva, 2022). Because frequentist estimation of the model parameters and their uncertainty is challenging, it is natural to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Michael Pearce , Elena A. Erosheva

We have shown in previous work that statistical inference for cooperative sequential adsorption model can be based on maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper we continue this research and establish asymptotic normality of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-14 Mathew D. Penrose , Vadim Shcherbakov

We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-15 François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Daira Velandia

Knowing the link between observed predictive variables and outcomes is crucial for making inference in any regression model. When this link is missing, partially or completely, classical estimation methods fail in recovering the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Jinyu Chen

Optimal design theory for nonlinear regression studies local optimality on a given design space. We identify designs for the Bradley--Terry paired comparison model with small undirected graphs and prove that every saturated D-optimal design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Thomas Kahle , Frank Röttger , Rainer Schwabe

The maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects is biased. Several bias correction methods, such as analytical and jackknife approaches, have been proposed to enable valid inference. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Haoyuan Xu , Wei Miao , Geert Dhaene , Jad Beyhum

Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Till Aczel , Lucas Theis , Roger Wattenhofer

We introduce and study a subclass of joint Bernoulli distributions which has the palindromic property. For such distributions the vector of joint probabilities is unchanged when the order of the elements is reversed. We prove for binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-06 Giovanni M. Marchetti , Nanny Wermuth
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