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Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Jonathan Weare

The main focus of this article is to provide a mathematical study of the algorithm proposed in \cite{boyaval2010variance} where the authors proposed a variance reduction technique for the computation of parameter-dependent expectations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Mohamed-Raed Blel , Virginie Ehrlacher , Tony Lelièvre

Although it is widely understood that pulsar timing observations generally contain time-correlated stochastic signals (TCSSs; red timing noise is of this type), most data analysis techniques that have been developed make an assumption that…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Rutger van Haasteren , Yuri Levin

Spaces with locally varying scale of measurement, like multidimensional structures with differently scaled dimensions, are pretty common in statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, it is still understood as an open question how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Christoph Jansen , Georg Schollmeyer , Hannah Blocher , Julian Rodemann , Thomas Augustin

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

In this work we derive two computationally efficient frequentist detection statistics that can be used in searches for gravitational-wave bursts with memory in pulsar timing data. By maximizing the likelihood ratio in two different ways we…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-29 Jerry P. Sun , Xavier Siemens , Dustin R. Madison

We address the problem of approximating the posterior probability distribution of the fixed parameters of a state-space dynamical system using a sequential Monte Carlo method. The proposed approach relies on a nested structure that employs…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

Monte Carlo approaches have recently been proposed to quantify connectivity in neuronal networks. The key problem is to sample from the conditional distribution of a single neuronal spike train, given the activity of the other neurons in…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-01 Yuriy Mishchenko , Liam Paninski

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li

Parameter estimation is a growing area of interest in statistical signal processing. Some parameters in real-life applications vary in space as opposed to those that are static. Most common methods in estimating parameters involve solving…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-02 David Angwenyi

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

In many settings, robust data analysis involves computational methods for uncertainty quantification and statistical inference. To design frequentist studies that leverage robust analysis methods, suitable sample sizes to achieve desired…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Luke Hagar , Andrew J. Martin

The paper presents a statistical model which reproduces the results of Monte Carlo simulations to estimate the parameters of the gravitational wave signal from a coalesing binary system. The model however is quite general and would be…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Balasubramanian , S. V. Dhurandhar

Supermassive black hole binaries are one of the primary targets for gravitational wave searches using pulsar timing arrays. Gravitational wave signals from such systems are well represented by parametrized models, allowing the standard…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-25 Yan Wang , Soumya D. Mohanty , Fredrick A. Jenet

Many modern datasets don't fit neatly into $n \times p$ matrices, but most techniques for measuring statistical stability expect rectangular data. We study methods for stability assessment on non-rectangular data, using statistical learning…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-23 Kris Sankaran

Monte Carlo sampling is a powerful toolbox of algorithmic techniques widely used for a number of applications wherein some noisy quantity, or summary statistic thereof, is sought to be estimated. In this paper, we survey the literature for…

An isotropic stochastic background of nanohertz gravitational waves creates excess residual power in pulsar-timing-array datasets, with characteristic inter-pulsar correlations described by the Hellings-Downs function. These correlations…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-05-25 Sophie Hourihane , Patrick Meyers , Aaron Johnson , Katerina Chatziioannou , Michele Vallisneri

Autonomous robots typically incorporate complex sensors in their decision-making and control loops. These sensors, such as cameras and Lidars, have imperfections in their sensing and are influenced by environmental conditions. In this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-01 Guy Scher , Sadra Sadraddini , Russ Tedrake , Hadas Kress-Gazit