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Thin beams made of magnetorheological elastomers embedded with hard magnetic particles (hard-MREs) are capable of large deflections under an applied magnetic field. We propose a comprehensive framework, comprising a beam model and 3D finite…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-07-01 Dong Yan , Arefeh Abbasi , Pedro M. Reis

We propose using the frequency-domain bootstrap (FDB) to estimate errors of modeling parameters when the modeling error is itself a major source of uncertainty. Unlike the usual bootstrap or the simple $\chi^2$ analysis, the FDB can take…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-12-27 G. F. Bertsch , Derek Bingham

Predictions of uncertainty-aware models are diverse, ranging from single point estimates (often averaged over prediction samples) to predictive distributions, to set-valued or credal-set representations. We propose a novel unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Muhammad Mubashar , Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin

This work describes a Bayesian framework for reconstructing the boundaries that represent targeted features in an image, as well as the regularity (i.e., roughness vs. smoothness) of these boundaries.This regularity often carries crucial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-26 Babak Maboudi Afkham , Nicolai André Brogaard Riis , Yiqiu Dong , Per Christian Hansen

The application of effective field theory (EFT) methods to nuclear systems provides the opportunity to rigorously estimate the uncertainties originating in the nuclear Hamiltonian. Yet this is just one source of uncertainty in the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2016-05-13 R. J. Furnstahl , D. R. Phillips , S. Wesolowski

Quantitative high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM) provides an indispensable means to understand the structure-property relationships of a material in atomic dimensions. Successful quantification requires reliable…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Xiankang Tang , Yixuan Zhang , Juri Barthel , Chun-Lin Jia , Rafal E. Dunin-Borkowski , Hongbin Zhang , Lei Jin

Surrogate modeling is an essential data-driven technique for quantifying relationships between input variables and system responses in manufacturing and engineering systems. Two major challenges limit its effectiveness: (1) large data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Manan Mehta , Zhiqiao Dong , Yuhang Yang , Chenhui Shao

For the finite element simulation of thin soft biological tissues in dynamics, shell elements, compared to volume elements, can capture the whole tissue thickness at once, and feature larger critical time steps. However, the capabilities of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Bahareh Momenan , Michel R. Labrosse

We present a novel approach to derive constraints on neutrino masses from cosmological data, while taking into account our ignorance of the neutrino mass ordering. We derive constraints from a combination of current and future cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-02 Martina Gerbino , Massimiliano Lattanzi , Olga Mena , Katherine Freese

Towards understanding the fundamental limits of estimation from data of varied quality, we study the problem of estimating a mean parameter from heteroskedastic Gaussian observations where the variances are unknown and may vary arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Yanjun Han , Abhishek Shetty , Jacob Shkrob

Untargeted metabolomics based on liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry technology is quickly gaining widespread application given its ability to depict the global metabolic pattern in biological samples. However, the data is noisy and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Guoxuan Ma , Jian Kang , Tianwei Yu

It is important to accurately model materials' properties at lower length scales (micro-level) while translating the effects to the components and/or system level (macro-level) can significantly reduce the amount of experimentation required…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Kazuma Kobayashi , Shoaib Usman , Carlos Castano , Dinesh Kumar , Syed Alam

Statistical tools of uncertainty quantification can be used to assess the information content of measured observables with respect to present-day theoretical models; to estimate model errors and thereby improve predictive capability; to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-03-26 J. D. McDonnell , N. Schunck , D. Higdon , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild , W. Nazarewicz

This paper presents a novel approach for solving fourth-order phase-field models in brittle fracture mechanics using the Interior Penalty Finite Element Method (IP-FEM). The fourth-order model improves numerical stability and accuracy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Tian Tian , Chen Chunyu , Wei Huayi

Conventional radio frequency (RF) passive components modeling based on machine learning requires extensive electromagnetic (EM) simulations to cover geometric and frequency design spaces, creating computational bottlenecks. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Huifan Zhang , Pingqiang Zhou

Uncertainty estimation is pivotal in machine learning, especially for classification tasks, as it improves the robustness and reliability of models. We introduce a novel `Epistemic Wrapping' methodology aimed at improving uncertainty…

Universal machine learning interatomic potentials (uMLIPs) are reshaping atomistic simulation as foundation models, delivering near \textit{ab initio} accuracy at a fraction of the cost. Yet the lack of reliable, general uncertainty…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-30 Kai Liu , Zixiong Wei , Wei Gao , Poulumi Dey , Marcel H. F. Sluiter , Fei Shuang

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Machine learning (ML) classification models are increasingly being used in a wide range of applications where it is important that predictions are accompanied by uncertainties, including in climate and earth observation, medical diagnosis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Samuel Bilson , Maurice Cox , Anna Pustogvar , Andrew Thompson

A crucial step in fitting a regression model to data is determining the model's structure, i.e., the subset of explanatory variables to be included. However, the uncertainty in this step is often overlooked due to a lack of satisfactory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Ryan Martin , Naomi Singer , Jonathan Williams