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In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

The problem of dynamic estimation of all parameters of a model representing chaotic and hyperchaotic systems using information from a scalar measured output is solved. The variational calculus based method is robust in the presence of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Rahul Konnur

Leveraging recent work on data-driven methods for constructing a finite state space Markov process from dynamical systems, we address two problems for obtaining further reduced statistical representations. The first problem is to extract…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-14 Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Andre N. Souza , Peter J. Schmid

A new framework is proposed for the evaluation of stochastic subgrid-scale parameterizations in the context of MAOOAM, a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of intermediate complexity. Two physically-based parameterizations are investigated, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-26 Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

Spatiotemporal chaos in fluid systems exhibits severe parametric sensitivity, rendering classical adjoint-based optimal control intractable because each operating regime requires recomputing the control law. We address this bottleneck with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Anil Sapkota , Omer San

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

We provide another look at the statistical calibration problem in computer models. This viewpoint is inspired by two overarching practical considerations of computer models: (i) many computer models are inadequate for perfectly modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

This paper tackles state feedback control of switched linear systems under arbitrary switching. We propose a data-driven control framework that allows to compute a stabilizing state feedback using only a finite set of observations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Zheming Wang , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

The development of randomized algorithms for numerical linear algebra, e.g. for computing approximate QR and SVD factorizations, has recently become an intense area of research. This paper studies one of the most frequently discussed…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-08-28 Rafi Witten , Emmanuel Candes

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

We consider nonequilibrium probabilistic dynamics in logistic-like maps $x_{t+1}=1-a|x_t|^z$, $(z>1)$ at their chaos threshold: We first introduce many initial conditions within one among $W>>1$ intervals partitioning the phase space and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ernesto P. Borges , Constantino Tsallis , Garin F. J. Ananos , Paulo Murilo C. de Oliveira

Scenario reduction algorithms can be an effective means to provide a tractable description of the uncertainty in optimal control problems. However, they might significantly compromise the performance of the controlled system. In this paper,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Francesco Cordiano , Bart De Schutter

Linear response theory has found many applications in statistical physics. One of these is to compute minimal-work protocols that drive nonequilibrium systems between different thermodynamic states, which are useful for designing engineered…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Samuel. H. DAmbrosia , Adrianne Zhong , Michael R. DeWeese

Understanding how systems respond to external perturbations is fundamental to statistical physics. For systems far from equilibrium, a general framework for response remains elusive. While progress has been made on the linear response of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-04 Ruicheng Bao , Shiling Liang

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Reduced Order Models (ROMs) form essential tools across engineering domains by virtue of their function as surrogates for computationally intensive digital twinning simulators. Although purely data-driven methods are available for ROM…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Konstantinos Vlachas , Thomas Simpson , Anthony Garland , D. Dane Quinn , Charbel Farhat , Eleni Chatzi

Climate projections suffer from uncertain equilibrium climate sensitivity. The reason behind this uncertainty is the resolution of global climate models, which is too coarse to resolve key processes such as clouds and convection. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Soukayna Mouatadid , Pierre Gentine , Wei Yu , Steve Easterbrook