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We analyze Gaussian analytic functions (GAFs) defined as power series with coefficients modeled by discrete stationary Gaussian processes, utilizing their spectral measures. We revisit some limit theorems for random analytic functions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Tomoyuki Shirai

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We propose an optimized algorithm for the numerical simulation of two-time correlation functions by means of stochastic wave functions. As a first application, we investigate the two-time correlation function of a nonlinear optical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Timo Felbinger , Martin Wilkens

Empirical analysis serves as an important complement to theoretical analysis for studying practical Bayesian optimization. Often empirical insights expose strengths and weaknesses inaccessible to theoretical analysis. We define two metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Ian Dewancker , Michael McCourt , Scott Clark , Patrick Hayes , Alexandra Johnson , George Ke

This paper considers the problem of approximating a Boolean function $f$ using another Boolean function from a specified class. Two classes of approximating functions are considered: $k$-juntas, and linear Boolean functions. The $n$ input…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Mohsen Heidari , S. Sandeep Pradhan , Ramji Venkataramanan

It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Andrew Gelman , Matthijs Vákár

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

We propose an efficient transfer Bayesian optimization method, which finds the maximum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function by using data on related optimization tasks. Our method uses auxiliary information that represents the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-18 Tomoharu Iwata , Takuma Otsuka

In many applications, hypothesis testing is based on an asymptotic distribution of statistics. The aim of this paper is to clarify and extend multiple correction procedures when the statistics are asymptotically Gaussian. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Sophie Achard , Pierre Borgnat , Irène Gannaz

In many applications, smooth processes generate data that is recorded under a variety of observation regimes, such as dense, sparse or fragmented observations that are often contaminated with error. The statistical goal of registering and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 James Matuk , Karthik Bharath , Oksana Chkrebtii , Sebastian Kurtek

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-01 Xiaoyue Xi , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

This paper studies the problem of testing whether a function is monotone from a nonparametric Bayesian perspective. Two new families of tests are constructed. The first uses constrained smoothing splines, together with a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 James G. Scott , Thomas S. Shively , Stephen G. Walker

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

We investigated the use of the Bayesian inference to restore noise-degraded images under conditions of spatially correlated noise. The generative statistical models used for the original image and the noise were assumed to obey…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Jun Tsuzurugi , Masato Okada

Calibration is nowadays one of the most important processes involved in the extraction of valuable data from measurements. The current availability of an optimum data cube measured from a heterogeneous set of instruments and surveys relies…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-08-13 Maria Jose Marquez

Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-03 Maxime Rischard , Pierre E. Jacob , Natesh Pillai

Crowdsourcing has emerged as an effective means for performing a number of machine learning tasks such as annotation and labelling of images and other data sets. In most early settings of crowdsourcing, the task involved classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Desmond Cai , Duc Thien Nguyen , Shiau Hong Lim , Laura Wynter

We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-10 Rajesh Ranganath , David Blei