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Related papers: Subcritical epidemics on random graphs

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We study the SIRS process, a continuous-time Markov chain modeling the spread of infections on graphs. In this model, vertices are either susceptible, infected, or recovered. Each infected vertex becomes recovered at rate 1 and infects each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

We study the extinction time $\uptau$ of the contact process on finite trees of bounded degree. We show that, if the infection rate is larger than the critical rate for the contact process on $\Z$, then, uniformly over all trees of degree…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Thomas Mountford , Jean-Christophe Mourrat , Daniel Valesin , Qiang Yao

We consider an SIS-type epidemic process that evolves on a known graph. We assume that a fixed curing budget can be allocated at each instant to the nodes of the graph, towards the objective of minimizing the expected extinction time of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-10-22 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John N. Tsitsiklis

A temporal random geometric graph is a random geometric graph in which all edges are endowed with a uniformly random time-stamp, representing the time of interaction between vertices. In such graphs, paths with increasing time stamps…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Anna Brandenberger , Serte Donderwinkel , Céline Kerriou , Gábor Lugosi , Rivka Mitchell

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay

Coalescing-branching random walks, or {\em cobra walks} for short, are a natural variant of random walks on graphs that can model the spread of disease through contacts or the spread of information in networks. In a $k$-cobra walk, at each…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Michael Mitzenmacher , Rajmohan Rajaraman , Scott Roche

In this paper we study the metastability of the contact process on a random regular graph. We show that the extinction time of the contact process, when initialized so that all vertices are infected at time 0, grows exponentially with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wei Su

In this paper we are concerned with the contact process on the squared lattice. The contact process intuitively describes the spread of the infectious disease on a graph, where an infectious vertex becomes healthy at a constant rate while a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Xiaofeng Xue

This note gives an exponential tail approximation for the extinction time of a subcritical multitype branching process arising from the SIR epidemic model on a random graph with given degrees, where the type corresponds to the vertex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Peter Windridge

We study atypical behavior in bootstrap percolation on the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph. Initially a set $S$ is infected. Other vertices are infected once at least $r$ of their neighbors become infected. Janson et al. (2012) locates the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Omer Angel , Brett Kolesnik

We consider branching random walks and contact processes on infinite, connected, locally finite graphs whose reproduction and infectivity rates across edges are inversely proportional to vertex degree. We show that when the ambient graph is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Wei Su

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

We study the supercritical contact process on Galton-Watson trees and periodic trees. We prove that if the contact process survives weakly then it dominates a supercritical Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process. Hence the number of infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Xiangying Huang

We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence each other bidirectionally. In particular, edges appear and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

We study the graph-theoretic properties of the trace of random walks on pseudorandom graphs. We show that for any $\varepsilon>0$, there exists a constant $C$ such that the cover time of an $(n,d,\lambda)$-graph $G$ with $d/\lambda\ge C$ is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Yaobin Chen , Yiting Wang

Suppose that a cascade (e.g., an epidemic) spreads on an unknown graph, and only the infection times of vertices are observed. What can be learned about the graph from the infection times caused by multiple distinct cascades? Most of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Modeling long-range epidemic spreading in a random environment, we consider a quenched disordered, $d$-dimensional contact process with infection rates decaying with the distance as $1/r^{d+\sigma}$. We study the dynamical behavior of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-04-02 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács , F. Iglói

We address the question of understanding the effect of the underlying network topology on the spread of a virus and the dissemination of information when users are mobile performing independent random walks on a graph. To this end we…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-20 M. Draief , A. Ganesh

We investigate the SIR epidemic on a dynamic inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in which vertices are of one of $k$ types and in which edges appear and disappear independently of each other. We establish a functional law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yuanfei Huang , Adrian Röllin

We introduce a model of epidemics among moving particles on any locally finite graph. At any time, each vertex is empty, occupied by a healthy particle, or occupied by an infected particle. Infected particles recover at rate $1$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 M. Hilário , D. Ungaretti , D. Valesin , M. E. Vares