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Cloud computing offers a variable-cost payment scheme that allows cloud customers to specify the price they are willing to pay for renting spot instances to run their applications at much lower costs than fixed payment schemes, and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Abdullah Alourani , Ajay D. Kshemkalyani

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-15 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

Prediction markets are long known for prediction accuracy. This study systematically explores the fundamental properties of prediction markets, addressing questions about their information aggregation process and the factors contributing to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Dian Yu , Jianjun Gao , Weiping Wu , Zizhuo Wang

We provide closed-form market equilibrium formula consolidating informational imperfections and investors beliefs. Based on Merton's model, we characterize the equilibrium expected excess returns vector with incomplete information. We then…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Hafid Lalioui , Amine Ben Amar , Makram Bellalah

We study a new "laminated" queueing model for orders on batched trading venues such as decentralised exchanges. The model aims to capture and generalise transaction queueing infrastructure that has arisen to organise MEV activity on public…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Andrew W. Macpherson

Interference is a ubiquitous problem in experiments conducted on two-sided content marketplaces, such as Douyin (China's analog of TikTok). In many cases, creators are the natural unit of experimentation, but creators interfere with each…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Vivek F. Farias , Hao Li , Tianyi Peng , Xinyuyang Ren , Huawei Zhang , Andrew Zheng

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often suffer from limited sample sizes due to high costs and lengthy recruitment periods, compromising precision in treatment effect estimation. External real-world control data offer a valuable…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-05 Peng Wu , Jile Chaoge , Shu Yang

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Peter Z. Schochet

Evaluating platform-level interventions in search-based two-sided marketplaces is fundamentally challenged by systemic effects such as spillovers and network interference. While widely used for causal inference, the PSM (Propensity Score…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Ying Song , Yijing Wang , Hui Yang , Weihan Jin , Jun Xiong , Congyi Zhou , Jialin Zhu , Xiang Gao , Rong Chen , HuaGuang Deng , Ying Dai , Fei Xiao , Haihong Tang , Bo Zheng , KaiFu Zhang

We propose a pseudo-market solution to resource allocation problems subject to constraints. Our treatment of constraints is general: including bihierarchical constraints due to considerations of diversity in school choice, or scheduling in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Federico Echenique , Antonio Miralles , Jun Zhang

We present a novel agent-based approach to simulating an over-the-counter (OTC) financial market in which trades are intermediated solely by market makers and agent visibility is constrained to a network topology. Dynamics, such as changes…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-07 James T. Wilkinson , Jacob Kelter , John Chen , Uri Wilensky

Matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) has been increasingly employed in health technology assessments (HTA). By reweighting subjects from a trial with individual participant data (IPD) to match the covariate summary statistics of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Yixin Fang , Weili He

Classical approaches to experimental design assume that intervening on one unit does not affect other units. There are many important settings, however, where this non-interference assumption does not hold, as when running experiments on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Stefan Wager , Kuang Xu

The bulk of causal inference studies rule out the presence of interference between units. However, in many real-world scenarios, units are interconnected by social, physical, or virtual ties, and the effect of the treatment can spill from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Costanza Tortù , Laura Forastiere

A/B testing is an important decision-making tool in product development for evaluating user engagement or satisfaction from a new service, feature or product. The goal of A/B testing is to estimate the average treatment effects (ATE) of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-21 Yifan Zhou , Yang Liu , Ping Li , Feifang Hu

Sponsored search auctions constitute one of the most successful applications of microeconomic mechanisms. In mechanism design, auctions are usually designed to incentivize advertisers to bid their truthful valuations and to assure both the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Nicola Gatti , Alessandro Lazaric , Marco Rocco , Francesco Trovò

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for making informed decisions in medicine, yet they often lack generalizability to the patient populations in clinical practice. Observational studies, on the other hand, cover a broader…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Javier Abad , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

We study a data marketplace where a broker intermediates between buyers, who seek to estimate the mean \(\mu\) of an unknown normal distribution \(\Ncal(\mu, \sigma^2)\), and contributors, who can collect data from this distribution at a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Keran Chen , Alex Clinton , Kirthevasan Kandasamy

Market manipulation is tackled through regulation in traditional markets because of its detrimental effect on market efficiency and many participating financial actors. The recent increase of private retail investors due to new low-fee…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-11 Jean-Noël Tuccella , Philip Nadler , Ovidiu Şerban

Online auctions play a central role in online advertising, and are one of the main reasons for the industry's scalability and growth. With great changes in how auctions are being organized, such as changing the second- to first-price…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Djordje Gligorijevic , Tian Zhou , Bharatbhushan Shetty , Brendan Kitts , Shengjun Pan , Junwei Pan , Aaron Flores