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This letter highlights the entropy exchange phenomenon in a coupled binary inter-correlating system following Haldane's non-linear statistical correlation. A unique coupling between a classical and a quantum-like system at the marginal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-22 Projesh Kumar Roy

This paper proposes a theory of stock market predictability patterns based on a model of heterogeneous beliefs. In a discrete finite time framework, some agents receive news about an asset's fundamental value through a noisy signal. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Jiho Park

Financial markets exhibit an apparent paradox: while directional price movements remain largely unpredictable--consistent with weak-form efficiency--the magnitude of price changes displays systematic structure. Here we demonstrate that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Mainak Singha

A Hidden Markov Model for intraday momentum trading is presented which specifies a latent momentum state responsible for generating the observed securities' noisy returns. Existing momentum trading models suffer from time-lagging caused by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-22 Hugh Christensen , Simon Godsill , Richard E Turner

In an incomplete market underpinned by the trinomial model, we consider two investors : an ordinary agent whose decisions are driven by public information and an insider who possesses from the beginning a surplus of information encoded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Hélène Halconruy

Entropy is a measure of heterogeneity widely used in applied sciences, often when data are collected over space. Recently, a number of approaches has been proposed to include spatial information in entropy. The aim of entropy is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Linda Altieri , Daniela Cocchi , Giulia Roli

Entropy estimation is a fundamental problem in information theory that has applications in various fields, including physics, biology, and computer science. Estimating the entropy of discrete sequences can be challenging due to limited data…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Juan De Gregorio , David Sanchez , Raul Toral

Entropy based ideas find wide-ranging applications in finance for calibrating models of portfolio risk as well as options pricing. The abstracted problem, extensively studied in the literature, corresponds to finding a probability measure…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-04 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Kyle model in continuous time where the insider may be subject to legal penalties is considered. In equilibrium the insider internalises this legal risk by trading less aggressively. The equilibrium is characterised via the solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Umut Çetin

Shannon Entropy is the preeminent tool for measuring the level of uncertainty (and conversely, information content) in a random variable. In the field of communications, entropy can be used to express the information content of given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Bill Kay , Audun Myers , Thad Boydston , Emily Ellwein , Cameron Mackenzie , Iliana Alvarez , Erik Lentz

Entropy and free-energy estimation are key in thermodynamic characterization of simulated systems ranging from spin models through polymers, colloids, protein structure, and drug-design. Current techniques suffer from being model specific,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-30 Ram Avinery , Micha Kornreich , Roy Beck

We analyze sets of intrusion detection records observed on the networks of several large, nonresidential organizations protected by a form of intrusion detection and prevention service. Our analyses reveal that the process of intrusion…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Richard Harang , Alexander Kott

Scale invariance, collective behaviours and structural reorganization are crucial for portfolio management (portfolio composition, hedging, alternative definition of risk, etc.). This lack of any characteristic scale and such elaborated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Thomas Bury

We present a mathematical model of a market with $m$ shares traded across $n$ investor groups, each one with similar motivations and trading strategies. The market of each asset consists of a fixed amount of cash and shares (no additions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Mario Cavani

Predicting the intraday stock jumps is a significant but challenging problem in finance. Due to the instantaneity and imperceptibility characteristics of intraday stock jumps, relevant studies on their predictability remain limited. This…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-17 Ao Kong , Hongliang Zhu , Robert Azencott

This work explores entropy analysis as a tool for probing information distribution within Transformer-based architectures. By quantifying token-level uncertainty and examining entropy patterns across different stages of processing, we aim…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Amedeo Buonanno , Alessandro Rivetti , Francesco A. N. Palmieri , Giovanni Di Gennaro , Gianmarco Romano

--- the companies populating a Stock market, along with their connections, can be effectively modeled through a directed network, where the nodes represent the companies, and the links indicate the ownership. This paper deals with this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Roy Cerqueti , Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos

We introduce an event based framework of directional changes and overshoots to map continuous financial data into the so-called Intrinsic Network - a state based discretisation of intrinsically dissected time series. Defining a method for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Anton Golub , Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard

The transfer entropy is a well-established measure of information flow, which quantifies directed influence between two stochastic time series and has been shown to be useful in a variety fields of science. Here we introduce the transfer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-23 Sosuke Ito

Entropy metrics (for example, permutation entropy) are nonlinear measures of irregularity in time series (one-dimensional data). Some of these entropy metrics can be generalised to data on periodic structures such as a grid or lattice…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-10-22 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero