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The Neyman-Pearson strategy for hypothesis testing can be employed for goodness of fit if the alternative hypothesis is selected from data by exploring a rich parametrised family of models, while controlling the impact of statistical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-05-15 Gaia Grosso , Marco Letizia , Maurizio Pierini , Andrea Wulzer

The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 William H. Aeberhard , Eva Cantoni , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

In this paper, we present a novel approach to identify the Spatio-temporal and environmental features that influence the safety of a road and predict its accident proneness based on these features. A total of 14 features were compiled based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Srikanth Chandar , Anish Reddy , Muvazima Mansoor , Suresh Jamadagni

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) are used to model responses from exponential families with a combination of fixed and random effects. For variance components in GLMMs, we propose an approximate restricted likelihood ratio test that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Stephanie T. Chen , Luo Xiao , Ana-Maria Staicu

This paper aims to better predict highly skewed auto insurance claims by combining candidate predictions. We analyze a version of the Kangaroo Auto Insurance company data and study the effects of combining different methods using five…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Chenglong Ye , Lin Zhang , Mingxuan Han , Yanjia Yu , Bingxin Zhao , Yuhong Yang

Multivariate linear mixed models (mvLMMs) have been widely used in many areas of genetics, and have attracted considerable recent interest in genome-wide association studies (GWASs). However, fitting mvLMMs is computationally non-trivial,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-13 Xiang Zhou , Matthew Stephens

There are now many options for doubly robust estimation; however, there is a concerning trend in the applied literature to believe that the combination of a propensity score and an adjusted outcome model automatically results in a doubly…

Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) have been used extensively in statistical models of spike train data. However, the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters and their uncertainty, can be challenging to compute in situations…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Sahand Farhoodi , Uri Eden

A common problem in physics is to fit regression data by a parametric class of functions, and to decide whether a certain functional form allows for a good fit of the data. Common goodness of fit methods are based on the calculation of the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Bissantz , A. Munk

In transportation applications such as real-time route guidance, ramp metering, congestion pricing and special events traffic management, accurate short-term traffic flow prediction is needed. For this purpose, this paper proposes several…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Gurcan Comert , Negash Begashaw , Nathan Huynh

Logistic regression is widely used to model the propensity score in the analysis of nonignorable missing data. However, goodness-of-fit testing for this propensity score model has received limited attention in the literature. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Manli Cheng , Yangjianchen Xu , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

Point and interval estimation of future disability inception and recovery rates are predominantly carried out by combining generalized linear models (GLM) with time series forecasting techniques into a two-step method involving parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-24 Boualem Djehiche , Björn Löfdahl

The missing data issue often complicates the task of estimating generalized linear models (GLMs). We describe why the pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, used in this setting, is an effective strategy for parameter estimation.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Taylor R. Brown , Timothy L. McMurry , Alexander Langevin

Highway traffic crashes exert a considerable impact on both transportation systems and the economy. In this context, accurate and dependable emergency responses are crucial for effective traffic management. However, the influence of crashes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Shuang Li , Ziyuan Pu , Zhiyong Cui , Seunghyeon Lee , Xiucheng Guo , Dong Ngoduy

Accurately predicting and inferring a driver's decision to brake is critical for designing warning systems and avoiding collisions. In this paper we focus on predicting a driver's intent to brake in car-following scenarios from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Wenshuo Wang , Junqiang Xi , Ding Zhao

Generalized linear models (GLMs) using a regression procedure to fit relationships between predictor and target variables are widely used in automobile insurance data. Here, in the process of ratemaking and in order to compute the premiums…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-02 J. M. Pérez-Sánchez , E. Gómez-Déniz

Evaluating the effectiveness and benefits of driver assistance systems is crucial for improving the system performance. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for testing and evaluating lane departure correction systems at a low cost…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Wenshuo Wang , Ding Zhao

This paper proposes a model to estimate the probability of a vehicle reaching a near-term goal state using one or multiple lane changes based on parameters corresponding to traffic conditions and driving behavior. The proposed model not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Goodarz Mehr , Azim Eskandarian

We propose an L1-penalized algorithm for fitting high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) can be viewed as an extension of generalized linear models for clustered observations. This…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-03 Jürg Schelldorfer , Lukas Meier , Peter Bühlmann