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In this note a new high performance least squares parameter estimator is proposed. The main features of the estimator are: (i) global exponential convergence is guaranteed for all identifiable linear regression equations; (ii) it…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Romeo Ortega , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Stanislav Aranovskiy

In this paper, the estimation of parameters in the harmonic regression with cyclically dependent errors is addressed. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimates are analyzed by simulation experiments. By numerical simulation, we…

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

This paper studies an approximation method for the log-likelihood function of a nonlinear diffusion process using the bridge of the diffusion. The main result (Theorem \refthm:approx) shows that this approximation converges uniformly to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-11 Aleksandar Mijatović , Paul Schneider

In this paper we study the properties of the Lasso estimator of the drift component in the diffusion setting. More specifically, we consider a multivariate parametric diffusion model $X$ observed continuously over the interval $[0,T]$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Gabriela Ciolek , Dmytro Marushkevych , Mark Podolskij

We study the problem of parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating parameters. Depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to zero relative to the homogenization parameter, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Alexandra Chronopoulou

This paper aims at developing a systematic study for the weak rate of convergence of the Euler-Maruyama scheme for stochastic differential equations with very irregular drift and constant diffusion coefficients. We apply our method to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Hoang-Long Ngo , Dai Taguchi

We study parameter estimation and asymptotic inference for sparse nonlinear regression. More specifically, we assume the data are given by $y = f( x^\top \beta^* ) + \epsilon$, where $f$ is nonlinear. To recover $\beta^*$, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Yonina C. Eldar , Tong Zhang

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

This paper proposes minimum sliced distance estimation in structural econometric models with possibly parameter-dependent supports. In contrast to likelihood-based estimation, we show that under mild regularity conditions, the minimum…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Yanqin Fan , Hyeonseok Park

In this paper a drift-randomized Milstein method is introduced for the numerical solution of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations with non-differentiable drift coefficient functions. Compared to standard Milstein-type methods we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Raphael Kruse , Yue Wu

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the effective dynamics of multiscale diffusion processes with (at least) two widely separated characteristic time scales. More precisely, we seek to determine parameters in the effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Serafim Kalliadasis

We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

We study asymptotic properties of conditional least squares estimators for the drift parameters of two-factor affine diffusions based on continuous time observations. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Beáta Bolyog , Gyula Pap

Likelihood-based procedures are a common way to estimate tail dependence parameters. They are not applicable, however, in non-differentiable models such as those arising from recent max-linear structural equation models. Moreover, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 John H. J. Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers
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