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Reduced-order models, also known as proxy model or surrogate model, are approximate models that are less computational expensive as opposed to fully descriptive models. With the integration of machine learning, these models have garnered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jungang Chen , Eduardo Gildin , John Killough

In this work, a revised formulation of Chance-Constrained (CC) Model Predictive Control (MPC) is presented. The focus of this work is on the mathematical formulation of the revised CC-MPC, and the reason behind the need for its revision.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-17 Jan Lorenz Svensen , Hans Henrik Niemann , Anne Katrine Vinther Falk , Niels Kjølstad Poulsen

Simulating and predicting the water level/stage in river systems is essential for flood warnings, hydraulic operations, and flood mitigations. Physics-based detailed hydrological and hydraulic computational tools, such as HEC-RAS, MIKE, and…

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

The classical way of studying the rainfall-runoff processes in the water cycle relies on conceptual or physically-based hydrologic models. Deep learning (DL) has recently emerged as an alternative and blossomed in hydrology community for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Yihan Wang , Lujun Zhang , Annan Yu , N. Benjamin Erichson , Tiantian Yang

This study presents a novel generative modeling approach to rainfall-runoff modeling, focusing on the synthesis of realistic daily catchment runoff time series in response to catchment-averaged climate forcing. Unlike traditional…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-09-11 Yang Yang , Ting Fong May Chui

Model predictive control (MPC) has emerged as an effective strategy for water distribution systems (WDSs) management. However, it is hampered by the computational burden for large-scale WDSs due to the combinatorial growth of possible…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Saskia Putri , Faegheh Moazeni , Javad Khazaei

Many practical applications of control require that constraints on the inputs and states of the system be respected, while optimizing some performance criterion. In the presence of model uncertainties or disturbances, for many control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Georg Schildbach , Lorenzo Fagiano , Christoph Frei , Manfred Morari

Floods are one of nature's most catastrophic calamities which cause irreversible and immense damage to human life, agriculture, infrastructure and socio-economic system. Several studies on flood catastrophe management and flood forecasting…

Behavioral data-enabled control approaches typically assume data-generating systems of linear dynamics. This may result in false generalization if the newly designed closed-loop system results in input-output distributional shifts beyond…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-30 Mohammad Ramadan , Evan Toler , Mihai Anitescu

Load forecasting is an integral part of power system operations and planning. Due to the increasing penetration of rooftop PV, electric vehicles and demand response applications, forecasting the load of individual and a small group of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-19 Ling Zhang , Baosen Zhang

Predicting future states or actions of a given system remains a fundamental, yet unsolved challenge of intelligence, especially in the scope of complex and non-deterministic scenarios, such as modeling behavior of humans. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Maciej Zięba , Marcin Przewięźlikowski , Marek Śmieja , Jacek Tabor , Tomasz Trzcinski , Przemysław Spurek

Forecasting production reliably and anticipating changes in the behavior of rock-fluid systems are the main challenges in petroleum reservoir engineering. This project proposes to deal with this problem through a data-driven approach and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Mateus A. Fernandes , Michael M. Furlanetti , Eduardo Gildin , Marcio A. Sampaio

The objective of this study is to predict road flooding risks based on topographic, hydrologic, and temporal precipitation features using machine learning models. Predictive flood monitoring of road network flooding status plays an…

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

Effective riverine flood forecasting at scale is hindered by a multitude of factors, most notably the need to rely on human calibration in current methodology, the limited amount of data for a specific location, and the computational…

Climate change has a dramatic impact, particularly by concentrating rainfall into a few short periods, interspersed by long dry spells. In this context, the role of dams is crucial. We consider the optimal control of a dam, where the water…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Cristina Di Girolami , M'hamed Mrad , Gaïgi , Vathana Ly Vath , Simone Scotti

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful control strategy; however, its reliance on online optimization poses significant challenges for implementation on systems with limited computational resources. One possible approach to address…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Hassan Jafari Ozoumchelooei , Mehdi Hosseinzadeh

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing