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We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for option prices in the local volatility model in a new short-maturity limit $T\to 0$ at fixed $\rho = (r-q) T$, where $r$ is the interest rate and $q$ is the dividend yield. In cases of practical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-23 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we establish a robustification of an on-line algorithm for modelling asset prices within a hidden Markov model (HMM). In this HMM framework, parameters of the model are guided by a Markov chain in discrete time, parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-09 Christina Erlwein , Peter Ruckdeschel

We study pricing and hedging under parameter uncertainty for a class of Markov processes which we call generalized affine processes and which includes the Black-Scholes model as well as the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Eva Lütkebohmert , Thorsten Schmidt , Julian Sester

Efficient sampling for the conditional time integrated variance process in the Heston stochastic volatility model is key to the simulation of the stock price based on its exact distribution. We construct a new series expansion for this…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Simon J. A. Malham , Jiaqi Shen , Anke Wiese

This paper proposes to model asset price dynamics with a mixture of diffusion processes where the instantaneous volatility of the underlying diffusion process contains a random vector. The marginal probability distributions of the proposed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-20 Xin Liu

We provide a lean, non-technical exposition on the pricing of path-dependent and European-style derivatives in the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) pricing model. The main tool used in the paper for cleaning up the reasoning is applying static…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-02 Jarno Talponen , Minna Turunen

Stochastic spectral methods have become a popular technique to quantify the uncertainties of nano-scale devices and circuits. They are much more efficient than Monte Carlo for certain design cases with a small number of random parameters.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Zheng Zhang , Tsui-Wei Weng , Luca Daniel

We model non-stationary volume-price distributions with a log-normal distribution and collect the time series of its two parameters. The time series of the two parameters are shown to be stationary and Markov-like and consequently can be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Joana Estevens , Paulo Rocha , Joao Boto , Pedro Lind

We study the pricing problem for a European call option when the volatility of the underlying asset is random and follows the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. The random diffusion model proposed is a two-dimensional market process that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Ronnie Sircar , Jaume Masoliver

Large tick assets, i.e. assets where one tick movement is a significant fraction of the price and bid-ask spread is almost always equal to one tick, display a dynamics in which price changes and spread are strongly coupled. We introduce a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Gianbiagio Curato , Fabrizio Lillo

A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

We study nearly unstable bivariate cumulative heavy-tailed INAR($\infty$) processes and show that, under a one-factor parameterization and a suitable scaling, they converge to the rough Heston model. This yields a discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Yingli Wang , Zhenyu Cui , Lingjiong Zhu

We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

There are two possible ways of interpreting the seemingly stochastic nature of financial markets: the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and a set of stylized facts that drive the behavior of the markets. We show evidence for some of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-20 João Pedro Rodrigues do Carmo

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

We consider a large market model of defaultable assets in which the asset price processes are modelled as Heston-type stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower boundary. We assume that both the asset prices and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

We study the asymptotic behavior of distribution densities arising in stock price models with stochastic volatility. The main objects of our interest in the present paper are the density of time averages of the squared volatility process…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 A. Gulisashvili , E. M. Stein

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova