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This paper presents a new method to assess default risk based on applying the CEV process to the KMV model. We find that the volatility of the firm asset value may not be a constant, so we assume the firm's asset value dynamics are given by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-23 Wen Su

There are several approaches to modeling and forecasting time series as applied to prices of commodities and financial assets. One of the approaches is to model the price as a non-stationary time series process with heteroscedastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Andrei Renatovich Batyrov

In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the maturity is small, but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of averaging/homogenization…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-22 Jin Feng , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Rohini Kumar

We present an adaptive approach for valuing the European call option on assets with stochastic volatility. The essential feature of the method is a reduction of uncertainty in latent volatility due to a Bayesian learning procedure. Starting…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a popular choice for learning latent variable models. Variants of the EM have been initially introduced, using incremental updates to scale to large datasets, and using Monte Carlo (MC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Belhal Karimi , Ping Li

The use of factor stochastic volatility models requires choosing the number of latent factors used to describe the dynamics of the financial returns process; however, empirical evidence suggests that the number and makeup of pertinent…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-06 Taylor R. Brown

We obtain a decomposition of the call option price for a very general stochastic volatility diffusion model extending the decomposition obtained by E. Al\`os in [2] for the Heston model. We realize that a new term arises when the stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-30 Raul Merino , Josep Vives

In this paper we propose a new stochastic model based on a generalization of semi-Markov chains to study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks. We assume that the financial returns are described by a weighted indexed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

The truncated Euler-Maruyama (EM) method is proposed to approximate a class of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with the H\"older continuity in the temporal variable and the super-linear growth in the state variable.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Wei Liu , Xuerong Mao , Jingwen Tang , Yue Wu

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We consider a structural stochastic volatility model for the loss from a large portfolio of credit risky assets. Both the asset value and the volatility processes are correlated through systemic Brownian motions, with default determined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

In this paper, we consider three stochastic-volatility models, each characterized by distinct dynamics of instantaneous volatility: (1) a CIR process for squared volatility (i.e., the classical Heston model); (2) a mean-reverting lognormal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 V. Perederiy

Stochastic volatility models are the backbone of financial engineering. We study both continuous time diffusions as well as discrete time models. We propose two novel approaches to estimating stochastic volatility diffusions, one using…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-30 Eric Ghysels , Jack Morgan , Hamed Mohammadbagherpoor

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

Stochastic volatility models based on Gaussian processes, like fractional Brownian motion, are able to reproduce important stylized facts of financial markets such as rich autocorrelation structures, persistence and roughness of sample…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Eduardo Abi Jaber

Most of the empirical studies on stochastic volatility dynamics favor the 3/2 specification over the square-root (CIR) process in the Heston model. In the context of option pricing, the 3/2 stochastic volatility model is reported to be able…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-01 Wendong Zheng , Pingping Zeng