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The probabilistic power flow (PPF) problem is essential to quantifying the distribution of the nodal voltages due to uncertain injections. The conventional PPF problem considers a fixed topology, and the solutions to such a PPF problem are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Sel Ly , Kapil Chauhan , Anshuman Singh , Hung Dinh Nguyen

The operating conditions of the power system have become more complex and changeable. This paper proposes a probabilistic load flow based on the cumulant method (PLF-CM) for the voltage sourced converter high voltage direct current…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-17 Yinfeng Sun , Dapeng Xia , Zichun Gao , Zhenhao Wang , Guoqing Li , Weihua Lu , Xueguang Wu , Yang Li

Power flow calculation methods have been developed in decades using power injections and Newton-Raphson method. The nonlinear characteristics of the power flow to the bus voltage require Jacobian matrix reformation and refactorization in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-25 Renchang Dai , Xiang Zhang , Junjie Shi , Guangyi Liu , Chen Yuan , Zhiwei Wang

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

This paper develops a computationally efficient algorithm which speeds up the probabilistic power flow (PPF) problem by exploiting the inherently low-rank nature of the voltage profile in electrical power distribution networks. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Samuel Chevalier , Luca Schenato , Luca Daniel

Recent advances in steady-state analysis of power systems have introduced the equivalent split-circuit approach and corresponding continuation methods that can reliably find the correct physical solution of large-scale power system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Martin R. Wagner , Amritanshu Pandey , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi

The absence of formal performance guarantees in machine learning (ML) has limited its adoption for safety-critical power system applications, where confidence and interpretability are as vital as accuracy. In this work, we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-16 Parikshit Pareek , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

Alternating current optimal power flow (AC-OPF) is one of the fundamental problems in power systems operation. AC-OPF is traditionally cast as a constrained optimization problem that seeks optimal generation set points whilst fulfilling a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Henning Lange , Bingqing Chen , Mario Berges , Soummya Kar

Though the convex optimization has been widely used in power systems, it still cannot guarantee to yield a tight (accurate) solution to some problems. To mitigate this issue, this paper proposes an ensemble learning based convex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-18 Ren Hu , Qifeng Li , Feng Qiu

The increasing scale of alternating current and direct current (AC/DC) hybrid systems necessitates a faster power flow analysis tool than ever. This letter thus proposes a specific physics-guided graph neural network (PG-GNN). The tailored…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Mei Yang , Gao Qiu , Yong Wu , Junyong Liu , Nina Dai , Yue Shui , Kai Liu , Lijie Ding

Synchrophasor data provide unprecedented opportunities for inferring power system dynamics, such as estimating voltage angles, frequencies, and accelerations along with power injection at all buses. Aligned to this goal, this work puts…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-14 Mana Jalali , Vassilis Kekatos , Siddharth Bhela , Hao Zhu , Virgilio Centeno

Prior research has shown that spectral decomposition of the reduced power flow Jacobian (RPFJ) can yield participation factors that describe the extent to which particular buses contribute to particular spectral components of a power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-01 Samuel Chevalier , Paul Hines

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

Large scale integration of distributed energy resources and electric vehicles in a transactive energy environment present new challenges in terms of voltage stability and fluctuations in a power distribution system. The impact of different…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

This paper provides an enhanced modeling of the contingency response that collectively reflects high-fidelity physical and operational characteristics of power grids. Integrating active and reactive power contingency responses into the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-18 Tuncay Altun , Ramtin Madani , Alper Atamturk , Ross Baldick , Ali Davoudi

Power flow analysis plays a fundamental and critical role in the energy management system (EMS). It is required to well accommodate large and complex power system. To achieve a high performance and accurate power flow analysis, a graph…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Chen Yuan , Yi Lu , Wei Feng , Guangyi Liu , Renchang Dai , Yachen Tang , Zhiwei Wang

Power flow (PF) calculations are the backbone of real-time grid operations, across workflows such as contingency analysis (where repeated PF evaluations assess grid security under outages) and topology optimization (which involves PF-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Ana K. Rivera , Anvita Bhagavathula , Alvaro Carbonero , Priya Donti

Simultaneous load forecasting across multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings) is crucial for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective operation of power systems. Accurate load forecasting is a challenging problem due to the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

The probabilistic characteristics of daily wind speed are not well captured by simple density functions such as Normal or Weibull distribuions as suggested by the existing literature. The unmodeled uncertainties can cause unknown influences…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Weigao Sun , Mohsen Zamani , Hai-Tao Zhang , Yuanzheng Li

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas