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This paper presents a nonlinear model predictive control strategy for stochastic systems with general (state and input dependent) disturbances subject to chance constraints. Our approach uses an online computed stochastic tube to ensure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Henning Schlüter , Frank Allgöwer

We present a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) method for linear discrete-time systems subject to possibly unbounded and correlated additive stochastic disturbance sequences. Chance constraints are treated in analogy to robust MPC…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Lukas Hewing , Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper addresses the challenge of time-inconsistent stochastic control within a continuous-time framework. Its primary focus lies in uncovering a probabilistic representation, specifically in the shape of a system of backward stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Dylan Possamaï , Mateo Rodriguez Polo

In many mechatronic applications, controller input costs are negligible and time optimality is of great importance to maximize the productivity by executing fast positioning maneuvers. As a result, the obtained control input has mostly a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-28 Joe Ismail , Steven Liu

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

In this paper, motivated by the celebrated work of Kelly, we consider the problem of portfolio weight selection to maximize expected logarithmic growth. Going beyond existing literature, our focal point here is the rebalancing frequency…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-28 Chung-Han Hsieh , John A. Gubner , B. Ross Barmish

Multi-objective optimization is central to many engineering and machine learning applications, where multiple objectives must be optimized in balance. While multi-gradient based optimization methods combine these objectives in each step,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Trang H. Tran , Luis Nunes Vicente

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

Stochastic models such as Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMC) and Stochastic Hybrid Automata (SHA) are powerful formalisms to model and to reason about the dynamics of biological systems, due to their ability to capture the stochasticity…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Laura Nenzi , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper, which is a continuation of the previously published discrete time paper we develop a theory for continuous time stochastic control problems which, in various ways, are time inconsistent in the sense that they do not admit a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Tomas Björk , Mariana Khapko , Agatha Murgoci

This paper studies a time-changed stochastic control problem, where the underlying stochastic process is a L\'evy noise time-changed by an inverse subordinator. We establish a maximum principle theory for the time-changed stochastic control…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Erkan Nane , Yinan Ni

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

Causal ordering of key events in the cell cycle is essential for proper functioning of an organism. Yet, it remains a mystery how a specific temporal program of events is maintained despite ineluctable stochasticity in the biochemical…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-30 Farshid Jafarpour , Michael Vennettilli , Srividya Iyer-Biswas

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We extend the mathematical model based on stochastic differential equations describing the error gained by an atomic clock to the cases of anomalous behavior including jumps and an increase of instability. We prove an exact iterative…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Cristina Zucca , Patrizia Tavella

The performance of model-based control techniques strongly depends on the quality of the employed dynamics model. If strong guarantees are desired, it is therefore common to robustly treat all possible sources of uncertainty, such as model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Elena Arcari , Andrea Iannelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa

We develop a dynamic trading strategy in the Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) framework. By including a price mean-reversion signal into the optimization program, in a trading environment where market impact is linear and stage costs are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Simon Clinet , Jean-François Perreton , Serge Reydellet

Monitoring downside risk and upside risk to the key macroeconomic indicators is critical for effective policymaking aimed at maintaining economic stability. In this paper I propose a parametric framework for modelling and forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Andrea Renzetti
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