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As machine learning models are increasingly being employed in various high-stakes settings, it becomes important to ensure that predictions of these models are not only adversarially robust, but also readily explainable to relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Satyapriya Krishna , Chirag Agarwal , Himabindu Lakkaraju

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We study the error of linear regression in the face of adversarial attacks. In this framework, an adversary changes the input to the regression model in order to maximize the prediction error. We provide bounds on the prediction error in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-29 Antônio H. Ribeiro , Thomas B. Schön

The field of adversarial robustness has attracted significant attention in machine learning. Contrary to the common approach of training models that are accurate in average case, it aims at training models that are accurate for worst case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Oriol Barbany Mayor

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

Adversarial robustness has received increasing attention along with the study of adversarial examples. So far, existing works show that robust models not only obtain robustness against various adversarial attacks but also boost the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Yang Bai , Xin Yan , Yong Jiang , Shu-Tao Xia , Yisen Wang

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

The tail correlation function (TCF) is one of the most popular bivariate extremal dependence measures that has entered the literature under various names. We study to what extent the TCF can distinguish between different classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Kirstin Strokorb , Felix Ballani , Martin Schlather

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

This paper is concerned with stability analysis of nonlinear time-varying systems by using Lyapunov function based approach. The classical Lyapunov stability theorems are generalized in the sense that the time-derivative of the Lyapunov…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Bin Zhou

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

Adversarial robustness is a critical property in a variety of modern machine learning applications. While it has been the subject of several recent theoretical studies, many important questions related to adversarial robustness are still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Pranjal Awasthi , Natalie S. Frank , Mehryar Mohri

Advances in the effectiveness of machine learning models have come at the cost of enormous complexity resulting in a poor understanding of how they function. Local surrogate methods have been used to approximate the workings of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Christopher Burger , Charles Walter

Motivated by bridging the simulation to reality gap in the context of safety-critical systems, we consider learning adversarially robust stability certificates for unknown nonlinear dynamical systems. In line with approaches from robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Thomas T. C. K. Zhang , Stephen Tu , Nicholas M. Boffi , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Nikolai Matni

Despite breakthrough performance, modern learning models are known to be highly vulnerable to small adversarial perturbations in their inputs. While a wide variety of recent \emph{adversarial training} methods have been effective at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Adel Javanmard , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi , Hamed Hassani

This paper aims to provide various applications for second-order variational analysis of extended-real-valued piecewise liner functions recently obtained in [1]. We mainly focus here on establishing relationships between full stability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-23 B. S. Mordukhovich , M. E. Sarabi
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