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Graphical interaction models have become an important tool for analysing multivariate time series. In these models, the interrelationships among the components of a time series are described by undirected graphs in which the vertices depict…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Michael Eichler

We formulate and analyze a graphical model selection method for inferring the conditional independence graph of a high-dimensional nonstationary Gaussian random process (time series) from a finite-length observation. The observed process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-14 Nguyen Tran Quang , Alexander Jung

This work aims to learn the directed acyclic graph (DAG) that captures the instantaneous dependencies underlying a multivariate time series. The observed data follow a linear structural vector autoregressive model (SVARM) with both…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Samuel Rey , Gonzalo Mateos

While dynamic graph neural networks have shown promise in various applications, explaining their predictions on continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) is difficult. This paper investigates a new research task: self-interpretable GNNs for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Lanting Fang , Yulian Yang , Kai Wang , Shanshan Feng , Kaiyu Feng , Jie Gui , Shuliang Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

Learning representation on graph plays a crucial role in numerous tasks of pattern recognition. Different from grid-shaped images/videos, on which local convolution kernels can be lattices, however, graphs are fully coordinate-free on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Jiatao Jiang , Zhen Cui , Chunyan Xu , Jian Yang

In this paper, we introduce a new directed graphical model from Gaussian data: the Gaussian graphical interaction model (GGIM). The development of this model comes from considering stationary Gaussian processes on graphs, and leveraging the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Katherine Fitch

Outstanding achievements of graph neural networks for spatiotemporal time series analysis show that relational constraints introduce an effective inductive bias into neural forecasting architectures. Often, however, the relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Andrea Cini , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Conditional Independence (CI) graphs are a type of probabilistic graphical models that are primarily used to gain insights about feature relationships. Each edge represents the partial correlation between the connected features which gives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Harsh Shrivastava , Urszula Chajewska

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

Many important problems can be modeled as a system of interconnected entities, where each entity is recording time-dependent observations or measurements. In order to spot trends, detect anomalies, and interpret the temporal dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-13 David Hallac , Youngsuk Park , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

Despite recent success in using the invariance principle for out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization on Euclidean data (e.g., images), studies on graph data are still limited. Different from images, the complex nature of graphs poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Yongqiang Chen , Yonggang Zhang , Yatao Bian , Han Yang , Kaili Ma , Binghui Xie , Tongliang Liu , Bo Han , James Cheng

Learning the dynamics of complex systems features a large number of applications in data science. Graph-based modeling and inference underpins the most prominent family of approaches to learn complex dynamics due to their ability to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-06 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Daniel Romero , Bakht Zaman , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to represent conditional dependence among random variables. In this paper, we propose a novel estimator for data arising from a group of Gaussian graphical models that are themselves dependent. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-01 Yuying Xie , Yufeng Liu , William Valdar

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

We study simultaneous inference for multiple matrix-variate Gaussian graphical models in high-dimensional settings. Such models arise when spatiotemporal data are collected across multiple sample groups or experimental sessions, where each…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Zongge Liu , Heejong Bong , Zhao Ren , Matthew A. Smith , Robert E. Kass

Identifying causal relations among multi-variate time series is one of the most important elements towards understanding the complex mechanisms underlying the dynamic system. It provides critical tools for forecasting, simulations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Yang Sun , Yifan Xie

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

The rich information underlying graphs has inspired further investigation of unsupervised graph representation. Existing studies mainly depend on node features and topological properties within static graphs to create self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yiming Xu , Zhen Peng , Bin Shi , Xu Hua , Bo Dong

The multivariate time series forecasting has attracted more and more attention because of its vital role in different fields in the real world, such as finance, traffic, and weather. In recent years, many research efforts have been proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

Graphical models provide a framework for exploration of multivariate dependence patterns. The connection between graph and statistical model is made by identifying the vertices of the graph with the observed variables and translating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Mathias Drton , Michael D. Perlman