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Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

Environmental data science for spatial extremes has traditionally relied heavily on max-stable processes. Even though the popularity of these models has perhaps peaked with statisticians, they are still perceived and considered as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

We propose a novel, efficient approach for distributed sparse learning in high-dimensions, where observations are randomly partitioned across machines. Computationally, at each round our method only requires the master machine to solve a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-26 Jialei Wang , Mladen Kolar , Nathan Srebro , Tong Zhang

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Semisupervised methods are techniques for using labeled data $(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ together with unlabeled data $X_{n+1},\ldots,X_N$ to make predictions. These methods invoke some assumptions that link the marginal distribution $P_X$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Martin Azizyan , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

Statistical inference for spatial processes from partially realized or scattered data has seen voluminous developments in diverse areas ranging from environmental sciences to business and economics. Inference on the associated rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Didong Li , Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- hierarchical structure, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical branching diffusion with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-02 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Sayaka Olsen , Ilya Zaliapin

In this paper, we study the estimation of partially linear models for spatial data distributed over complex domains. We use bivariate splines over triangulations to represent the nonparametric component on an irregular two-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Min-Jun Lai , Lei Gao

Gaussian processes provide a flexible framework for spatial prediction, but their computational cost limits applicability to large-scale data with large sample size $n$. Predictive processes (PPs), a popular low-rank approximation, mitigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Nicolas Bianco , Nadja Klein

It has become increasingly common to collect high-dimensional binary response data; for example, with the emergence of new sampling techniques in ecology. In smaller dimensions, multivariate probit (MVP) models are routinely used for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-26 Antik Chakraborty , Rihui Ou , David B. Dunson

Extreme events arising in georeferenced processes can take various forms, such as occurring in isolated patches or stretching contiguously over large areas, and can further vary with the spatial location and the extremeness of the events.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

Since many environmental processes such as heat waves or precipitation are spatial in extent, it is likely that a single extreme event affects several locations and the areal modelling of extremes is therefore essential if the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-28 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Éyi-Minko , Mathieu Ribatet

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Many scientific applications involve mixed spatially indexed outcomes of heterogeneous types that are driven by shared latent mechanisms. Modeling such data is challenging due to complex, nonlinear, and potentially nonstationary spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yeseul Jeon , Kyeong Eun Lee , Joon Jin Song

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

We introduce a novel approach for parallelizing MCMC inference in models with spatially determined conditional independence relationships, for which existing techniques exploiting graphical model structure are not applicable. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-09 Jun Song , David A. Moore

Environmental phenomena are influenced by complex interactions among various factors. For instance, the amount of rainfall measured at different stations within a given area is shaped by atmospheric conditions, orography, and physics of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-16 Paolo Onorati , Antonio Canale

In modelling time series data coming from different sources, frequencies can easily vary since some variable can be measured at higher frequencies, others, at lower frequencies. Given data measured over spatial units and at varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Vladimir A. Malabanan , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

Statistical modelling of spatial extreme events has gained increasing attention over the last few decades with max-stable processes, and more recently $r$-Pareto processes, becoming the reference tools for the statistical analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Peng Zhong , Scott A. Sisson , Boris Beranger
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