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The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

A product of two Gaussians (or normal distributions) is another Gaussian. That's a valuable and useful fact! Here we use it to derive a refactoring of a common product of multivariate Gaussians: The product of a Gaussian likelihood times a…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 David W. Hogg , Adrian M. Price-Whelan , Boris Leistedt

In this paper, a modified formulation of generalized probabilistic theories that will always give rise to the structure of Hilbert space of quantum mechanics, in any finite outcome space, is presented and the guidelines to how to extend…

General Physics · Physics 2022-09-19 Raed M. Shaiia

The framework of non-extensive statistical mechanics, proposed by Tsallis, has been used to describe a variety of systems. The non-extensive statistical mechanics is usually introduced in a formal way, thus simple models exhibiting some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Julius Ruseckas

A theoretical framework is developed to describe the transformation that distributes probability density functions uniformly over space. In one dimension, the cumulative distribution can be used, but does not generalize to higher…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Eric Kee

Uncertainty quantification requires efficient summarization of high- or even infinite-dimensional (i.e., non-parametric) distributions based on, e.g., suitable point estimates (modes) for posterior distributions arising from model-specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Christian Clason , Tapio Helin , Remo Kretschmann , Petteri Piiroinen

When we work with information from multiple sources, the formalism each employs to handle uncertainty may not be uniform. In order to be able to combine these knowledge bases of different formats, we need to first establish a common basis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Choh Man Teng

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Circular and non-flat data distributions are prevalent across diverse domains of data science, yet their specific geometric structures often remain underutilized in machine learning frameworks. A principled approach to accounting for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Thibault de Surrel , Fabien Lotte , Sylvain Chevallier , Florian Yger

We discuss concrete examples for frame functions and their associated density operators, as well as for non-Gleason type probability measures.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Sebastian Rieder , Karl Svozil

The aim of this work is to provide a unified framework for ordinal representations of uncertainty lying at the crosswords between possibility and probability theories. Such confidence relations between events are commonly found in monotonic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-08-07 Didier Dubois , Helene Fargier

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

Real-world signals typically span across multiple dimensions, that is, they naturally reside on multi-way data structures referred to as tensors. In contrast to standard ``flat-view'' multivariate matrix models which are agnostic to data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Anh-Huy Phan , Danilo P. Mandic

Gleason-type theorems for quantum theory allow one to recover the quantum state space by assuming that (i) states consistently assign probabilities to measurement outcomes and that (ii) there is a unique state for every such assignment. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-01 Victoria J Wright , Stefan Weigert

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer

Gaussian distributions can be generalized from Euclidean space to a wide class of Riemannian manifolds. Gaussian distributions on manifolds are harder to make use of in applications since the normalisation factors, which we will refer to as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Simon Heuveline , Salem Said , Cyrus Mostajeran

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini , M. Raso

Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-20 Uwe Petersohn , Thomas Dedek , Sandra Zimmer , Hans Biskupski

Probability functions figure prominently in optimization problems of engineering. They may be nonsmooth even if all input data are smooth.This fact motivates the consideration of subdifferentials for such typically just continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Abderrahim Hantoute , René Henrion , Pedro Pérez-Aros

Commonly observed patterns typically follow a few distinct families of probability distributions. Over one hundred years ago, Karl Pearson provided a systematic derivation and classification of the common continuous distributions. His…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Steven A. Frank , Eric Smith
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