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Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti

Face mask use by the general public for limiting the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic is controversial, though increasingly recommended, and the potential of this intervention is not well understood. We develop a compartmental model for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Steffen E. Eikenberry , Marina Mancuso , Enahoro Iboi , Tin Phan , Keenan Eikenberry , Yang Kuang , Eric Kostelich , Abba B. Gumel

The effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions to curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2 is determined by numerous contextual factors, including adherence. Conventional wisdom holds that the effectiveness of protective behaviour such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-26 Peter Klimek , Katharina Ledebur , Stefan Thurner

Masks have remained an important mitigation strategy in the fight against COVID-19 due to their ability to prevent the transmission of respiratory droplets between individuals. In this work, we provide a comprehensive quantitative analysis…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Yurun Tian , Anirudh Sridhar , Chai Wah Wu , Simon A. Levin , Kathleen M. Carley , H. Vincent Poor , Osman Yagan

Masks are used as part of a comprehensive strategy of measures to limit transmission and save lives during the COVID-19 pandemic. Research about the impact of mask-wearing in the COVID-19 pandemic has raised formidable interest across…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Yurun Tian , Anirudh Sridhar , Osman Yagan , H. Vincent Poor

Face masks have been widely used as a protective measure against COVID-19. However, pre-pandemic empirical studies have produced mixed statistical results on the effectiveness of masks against respiratory viruses. The implications of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-24 Pratyush K. Kollepara , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the critical role of human behavior in influencing infectious disease transmission and the need for models capturing this complex dynamic. We present an agent-based model integrating an epidemiological…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Konstantinos Mitsopoulos , Lawrence Baker , Christian Lebiere , Peter Pirolli , Mark Orr , Raffaele Vardavas

The goal of this work is to consider widespread use of face masks as a non-pharmaceutical control strategy for the Covid-19 pandemic. A SEIR model that divides the population into individuals that wear masks and those that do not is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-03 João A. M. Gondim

A major strategy to prevent the spread of COVID-19 is the limiting of in-person contacts. However, this is impractical or impossible for the many disabled people who do not live in care facilities, but still require caregivers. We seek to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Thomas E. Valles , Hannah Shoenhard , Joseph Zinski , Sarah Trick , Mason A. Porter , Michael R. Lindstrom

In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend to protect themselves by avoiding contacts with infections at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-20 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Michael Small , Xinchu Fu , Zhen Jin

Human behavioral responses play an important role in the impact of disease outbreaks and yet they are often overlooked in epidemiological models. Understanding to what extent behavioral changes determine the outcome of spreading epidemics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-27 Benjamin Steinegger , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Clara Granell

Policymakers commonly employ non-pharmaceutical interventions to manage the scale and severity of pandemics. Of non-pharmaceutical interventions, social distancing policies -- designed to reduce person-to-person pathogenic spread -- have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-23 Demetris Avraam , Nick Obradovich , Niccoló Pescetelli , Manuel Cebrian , Alex Rutherford

Understanding the impact of network clustering and small-world properties on epidemic spread can be crucial in developing effective strategies for managing and controlling infectious diseases. Particularly in this work, we study the impact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Houman Zarrabi , Azam Doustmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

Epidemic control is of great importance for human society. Adjusting interacting partners is an effective individualized control strategy. Intuitively, it is done either by shortening the interaction time between susceptible and infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-28 Bin Wu , Shanjun Mao , Jiazeng Wang , Da Zhou

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

The effect of masking the general population on a COVID-19 epidemic is estimated by computer simulation using two separate state-of-the-art web-based softwares, one of them calibrated for the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The questions addressed are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Bjorn Johansson

Statistical physicists have long studied systems where the variable of interest spans many orders of magnitude, the classic example is the relaxation times of glassy materials, which are often found to follow power laws. A power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-07 Richard P. Sear

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

When a new infectious disease (or a new strain of an existing one) emerges, as in the recent COVID-19 pandemic, different types of mobility restrictions are considered to slow down or mitigate the spread of the disease. The measures to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-21 Jõao Gabriel Simões Delboni , Gabriel Fabricius
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